Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Grizzlies v Utah Jazz

2026-10-22 00:10 UTC — NBA

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 42.88%2.33fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%42.88%42.88%42.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.252.252.2544.64%44.51%44.44%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Jazz (Visit)

Prediction 57.12%1.75fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -5.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.11%57.12%57.12%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.681.681.6959.88%59.52%59.52%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Memphis Grizzlies (Local): 42.88%; Utah Jazz (Visit): 57.12%. For Utah Jazz (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.69, with an expected value of -3.46%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.53%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.46%E -2.05%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 22:34
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.53%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.96%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.03%E -2.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.