Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Memphis Grizzlies v Utah Jazz

2026-10-22 00:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Predicción 46.23%2.16momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.940%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.11%46.40%46.15%48.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.062.082.1251.81%48.59%48.08%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Utah Jazz (Visitante)

Predicción 53.77%1.86momio equitativo
EV +0.012%
Ventaja +0.006%
Kelly +0.014%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.82%53.60%53.85%54.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.761.751.8660.24%56.81%57.14%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Memphis Grizzlies (Local): 46.23%; Utah Jazz (Visitante): 53.77%. Para Utah Jazz (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.8598. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.8600, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.012%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV +0.012%E +0.006%K +0.014%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-13 10:13
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -0.526%E -0.284%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-12 02:25
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.526%E -0.284%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 02:19
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -8.00%E -4.02%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -0.526%E -0.284%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 02:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.875%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 04:34
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.875%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 02:16
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.875%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 01:19
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.21%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 12:14
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.21%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 12:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.21%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 10:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.21%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 20:34
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.21%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 02:19
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.21%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 02:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 02:44
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 02:44
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 19:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 07:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-12 02:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 20:28
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-12 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.99%E -0.940%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.99%E -0.940%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 19:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.99%E -0.940%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 19:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.99%E -0.940%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 02:40
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 02:40
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 19:34
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 19:34
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:24
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-13 07:33
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-13 07:34
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-13 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 02:39
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 02:43
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 20:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.44%E -3.70%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 19:34
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.44%E -3.70%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 19:34
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.44%E -3.70%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 19:34
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 19:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.30%E -2.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.52%E -4.37%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 19:34
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.62%E -3.27%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.59%E -5.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83%EV -9.13%E -5.40%K -13.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-12 20:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83%EV -9.13%E -5.40%K -13.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 00:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -10.78%E -5.58%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -9.67%E -5.75%K -14.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-12 11:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.13%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -10.20%E -6.11%K -15.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-12 20:23
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.27%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -10.74%E -6.47%K -16.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 19:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.9%2026-10-13 19:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.9%2026-10-13 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.9%2026-10-13 19:35
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%3.1%2026-10-14 01:50