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Memphis Grizzlies v Denver Nuggets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Memphis Grizzlies (Local)
Prediction 15.26%6.55fair odd
EV +9.12%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.135%
assuming max odds 7.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.44%15.35%15.22%17.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.186.107.1518.18%16.19%16.39%13.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denver Nuggets (Visit)
Prediction 84.74%1.18fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -10.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.71%84.65%84.78%86.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.131.131.1691.74%88.69%88.50%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Grizzlies (Local): 15.26%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 84.74%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.55. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.44%EV +9.12%E +1.27%K +1.48%G +0.135% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.56%EV -5.94%E -5.35%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.83%E +0.975%K +1.14%G +0.078% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +3.77%E +0.555%K +0.651%G +0.025% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +3.77%E +0.555%K +0.651%G +0.025% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +0.723%E +0.109%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +0.723%E +0.109%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 20:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 18:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 00:21 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.98%EV -1.26%E -0.195%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.02%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.44I 15.53%NM 15.04%EV -1.72%E -0.267%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.96%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -2.33%E -0.364%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.33%E -0.364%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.39I 15.65%NM 15.36%EV -2.48%E -0.388%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.64%EV -1.70%E -1.47%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.25%E -0.512%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.75%EV -3.86%E -0.612%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -7.63%E -7.00%K -84.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -6.91%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -6.91%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -6.91%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.94%E -5.35%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.72%EV -7.52%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.28%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 00:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 00:22 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.94%E -5.35%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 05:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -9.96%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -9.96%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -5.94%E -5.35%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 00:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.49%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.49%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.49%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.49%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -11.49%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -12.25%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -2.55%E -2.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.25%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.25%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.25%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.25%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.54%E -2.60%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.06%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.55%E -2.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.06%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.55%E -2.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 0.1% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.91% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.09% | 0.1% | 2026-03-19 00:29 |
| Novig◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-18 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |