La escuela de los momios

Memphis Grizzlies v Denver Nuggets

Inicio: 2026-03-19 00:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Predicción 15.26%6.55momio equitativo
EV +9.12%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.48%
Crecimiento +0.135%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.44%15.35%15.22%17.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.186.107.1518.18%16.19%16.39%13.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Predicción 84.74%1.18momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -10.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.71%84.65%84.78%86.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.131.131.1691.74%88.69%88.50%86.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff7.15I 13.99%NM 13.44%EV +9.12%E +1.27%K +1.48%G +0.135%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.56%EV -5.94%E -5.35%K -54.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:35
Dabble (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.83%E +0.975%K +1.14%G +0.078%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 09:00
SportsBet6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +3.77%E +0.555%K +0.651%G +0.025%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 00:25
Coolbet6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +3.77%E +0.555%K +0.651%G +0.025%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 18:35
FanDuel6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +0.723%E +0.109%K +0.129%G +0.001%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 00:25
ReBet6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +0.723%E +0.109%K +0.129%G +0.001%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 20:30
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 00:20
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 00:30
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 00:30
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 00:25
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 18:30
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 00:21
BetAnything6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 19:30
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:35
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 05:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.803%E -0.124%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:35
LowVig.ag6.47I 15.46%NM 14.98%EV -1.26%E -0.195%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.02%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 00:25
Pinnacle6.44I 15.53%NM 15.04%EV -1.72%E -0.267%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.96%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 00:30
GTbets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -2.33%E -0.364%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:25
Codere (IT)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.33%E -0.364%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 18:35
1xBet6.39I 15.65%NM 15.36%EV -2.48%E -0.388%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.64%EV -1.70%E -1.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-19 00:05
BetOnline.ag6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.25%E -0.512%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 00:25
NetBet (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 14.75%EV -3.86%E -0.612%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -7.63%E -7.00%K -84.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 00:30
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 00:35
Unibet (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 00:35
DraftKings6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 00:25
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 00:25
Neds6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.62%E -0.739%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 00:25
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -6.91%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:25
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -6.91%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:25
Unibet (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -6.91%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.94%E -5.35%K -54.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:25
MyBookie.ag6.06I 16.50%NM 15.72%EV -7.52%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.28%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 00:28
TAB6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 18:15
TABtouch6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 00:35
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 00:35
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:30
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 18:05
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:35
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:22
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 18:40
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.94%E -5.35%K -54.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 05:04
Marathon Bet5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -9.96%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 21:40
Betclic (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -9.96%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -5.94%E -5.35%K -54.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:18
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.49%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 00:25
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.49%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 00:25
Bally Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.49%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.49%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.24%E -3.76%K -32.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:35
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -11.49%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:30
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -12.25%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -2.55%E -2.22%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 00:25
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.25%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 00:35
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.25%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 00:35
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.25%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 00:35
Hard Rock Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.25%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 00:35
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.54%E -2.60%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 00:25
NordicBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.06%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.55%E -2.22%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 00:30
Betsson5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.06%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.55%E -2.22%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 00:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%0.1%2026-03-19 00:35
BetOpenly7.18I 13.93%NM 13.91%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.09%0.1%2026-03-19 00:29
Novig6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-03-19 00:35
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%0.7%2026-03-18 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-03-19 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-03-19 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-03-19 00:15
Polymarket7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%1.0%2026-03-19 00:30
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-03-19 00:35
Smarkets7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%2.0%2026-03-19 00:25