Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Grizzlies v Cleveland Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 00:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 12.86%7.77fair odd
EV +7.15%
Edge +0.858%
Kelly +0.976%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 8.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.57%13.22%12.66%16.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.757.247.508.3317.39%13.80%13.33%12.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 87.14%1.15fair odd
EV -0.664%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -4.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.94%86.78%87.34%88.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.101.1494.34%91.09%90.91%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Grizzlies (Local): 12.86%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 87.14%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.77. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯8.33I 12.00%NM 11.57%EV +7.15%E +0.858%K +0.976%G +0.070%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.43%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +5.48%E +0.668%K +0.761%G +0.042%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 23:58
ReBet🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +5.48%E +0.668%K +0.761%G +0.042%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +4.06%E +0.502%K +0.573%G +0.023%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:09
BetUS🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 00:06
theScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 00:10
Fliff🎯7.95I 12.58%NM 12.06%EV +2.26%E +0.285%K +0.326%G +0.007%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.94%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯7.89I 12.67%NM 12.04%EV +1.49%E +0.189%K +0.216%G +0.003%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.96%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 00:00
GTbets🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.333%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +0.333%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV +0.333%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -6.76%E -6.32%K -96.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 00:09
PlayUp🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.310%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 00:10
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.310%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 00:09
Pinnacle🎯7.66I 13.05%NM 12.66%EV -1.47%E -0.192%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.34%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 00:09
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
Coolbet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:09
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
BetAnything🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:09
NordicBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 00:10
Betsson🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 00:10
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 23:59
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 00:00
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 00:09
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 23:59
NetBet (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.64%E -7.20%K -127.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 00:00
FanDuel🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -4.81%E -0.650%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 00:10
Everygame🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -6.74%E -0.930%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Neds🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -6.74%E -0.930%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Fanatics🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -7.38%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 00:09
Dabble (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 00:10
Bet Victor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.55%EV -0.664%E -0.583%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-07 00:08
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-07 00:10
BetRivers🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Bet Right🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Bally Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -16.39%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.39%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 00:09
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.39%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.39%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -17.03%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -2.41%E -2.15%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 23:59
PMU (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -17.68%E -2.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 00:10
LeoVegas🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -19.60%E -3.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.76%E -6.32%K -96.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 00:10
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -22.82%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.41%E -2.15%K -20.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.82%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -26.04%E -4.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Polymarket8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%1.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%1.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%1.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Novig7.46I 13.40%NM 13.05%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.95%2.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.74%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.26%3.2%2026-04-07 00:10
ProphetX7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%3.6%2026-04-07 00:10
BetOpenly8.94I 11.19%NM 10.78%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.22%3.8%2026-04-06 23:59
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%7.0%2026-04-07 00:10