La escuela de los momios

Memphis Grizzlies v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-04-07 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Predicción 12.86%7.77momio equitativo
EV +7.15%
Ventaja +0.858%
Kelly +0.976%
Crecimiento +0.070%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.57%13.22%12.66%16.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.757.247.508.3317.39%13.80%13.33%12.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 87.14%1.15momio equitativo
EV -0.664%
Ventaja -0.583%
Kelly -4.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.94%86.78%87.34%88.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.101.101.1494.34%91.09%90.91%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag8.33I 12.00%NM 11.57%EV +7.15%E +0.858%K +0.976%G +0.070%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.43%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet (FR)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +5.48%E +0.668%K +0.761%G +0.042%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 23:58
ReBet8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +5.48%E +0.668%K +0.761%G +0.042%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 23:59
BetOnline.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +4.06%E +0.502%K +0.573%G +0.023%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 00:10
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:09
BetUS8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 00:06
theScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.91%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 00:10
Fliff7.95I 12.58%NM 12.06%EV +2.26%E +0.285%K +0.326%G +0.007%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.94%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 00:10
MyBookie.ag7.89I 12.67%NM 12.04%EV +1.49%E +0.189%K +0.216%G +0.003%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.96%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 00:00
GTbets7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.333%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Codere (IT)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +0.333%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 00:00
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV +0.333%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -6.76%E -6.32%K -96.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 00:09
PlayUp7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.310%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 00:10
BetMGM7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.310%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 00:09
Pinnacle7.66I 13.05%NM 12.66%EV -1.47%E -0.192%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.34%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 00:09
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
Coolbet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:09
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
BetAnything7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:10
Hard Rock Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 00:09
NordicBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 00:10
Betsson7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 00:10
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 23:59
BoyleSports7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 00:00
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 00:09
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 00:09
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 23:59
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 23:59
NetBet (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.53%E -0.470%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.64%E -7.20%K -127.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 00:00
FanDuel7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -4.81%E -0.650%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 00:10
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -6.74%E -0.930%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Neds7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -6.74%E -0.930%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Fanatics7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -7.38%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 00:09
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
TAB7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 00:09
Dabble (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 00:10
Bet Victor6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.55%EV -0.664%E -0.583%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-07 00:08
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-07 00:10
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:09
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Bally Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
betPARX6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -13.17%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -16.39%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.39%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 00:09
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.39%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.39%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Marathon Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -17.03%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -2.41%E -2.15%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 23:59
PMU (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -17.68%E -2.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 00:10
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -19.60%E -3.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.76%E -6.32%K -96.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 00:10
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -22.82%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.41%E -2.15%K -20.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 00:10
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.82%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 00:10
Betclic (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -26.04%E -4.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Polymarket8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%1.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%1.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%1.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Novig7.46I 13.40%NM 13.05%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.95%2.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.74%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.26%3.2%2026-04-07 00:10
ProphetX7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%3.6%2026-04-07 00:10
BetOpenly8.94I 11.19%NM 10.78%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.22%3.8%2026-04-06 23:59
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%7.0%2026-04-07 00:10