Language:English
Los Angeles Lakers v Oklahoma City Thunder
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Lakers (Local)
Prediction 24.23%4.13fair odd
EV -0.646%
Edge -0.157%
Kelly -0.208%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.44%24.20%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.923.984.1030.30%25.53%25.13%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)
Prediction 75.77%1.32fair odd
EV +1.53%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +4.49%
Growth +0.069%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.12%75.56%75.80%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.261.3483.33%79.42%79.37%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Lakers (Local): 24.23%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 75.77%. For Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -20.03%E -6.07%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV +1.53%E +1.14%K +4.49%G +0.069% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%EV -2.34%E -0.581%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%EV -2.26%E -1.75%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 00:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -8.40%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 00:36 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.34%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.34%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.76%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78%EV -1.37%E -0.337%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -2.10%E -0.520%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.08%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 00:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 00:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -3.31%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -3.80%E -0.956%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 00:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.646%E -0.157%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.646%E -0.157%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.646%E -0.157%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.646%E -0.157%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.86%E -0.459%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.86%E -0.459%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 00:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:36 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.646%E -0.157%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 00:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.05%E -4.88%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.00%EV -14.46%E -4.10%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.00%EV -6.05%E -4.88%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.08%E -7.57%K -45.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.61% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Novig◎ | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.94% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.06% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |