Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Lakers v Oklahoma City Thunder

Inicio: 2026-05-10 00:41 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Lakers 108–131 Oklahoma City Thunder

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Predicción 24.23%4.13momio equitativo
EV -0.646%
Ventaja -0.157%
Kelly -0.208%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.36%24.44%24.20%28.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.923.984.1030.30%25.53%25.13%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 75.77%1.32momio equitativo
EV +1.53%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +4.49%
Crecimiento +0.069%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.12%75.56%75.80%76.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.261.3483.33%79.42%79.37%74.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Lakers (Local): 24.23%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante): 75.77%. Para Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.32. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.34, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.53%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fliff🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -20.03%E -6.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV +1.53%E +1.14%K +4.49%G +0.069%4.9%2026-05-10 00:39
theScore Bet🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%EV -2.34%E -0.581%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%EV -2.26%E -1.75%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 00:40
Everygame🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 00:34
Caesars🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -8.40%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 00:36
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.34%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 00:40
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.34%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.76%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 00:40
Pinnacle🎯4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78%EV -1.37%E -0.337%K -0.447%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 00:34
LowVig.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -2.10%E -0.520%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.08%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 00:39
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 00:38
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 00:38
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -3.31%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 00:39
BetAnything🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -3.80%E -0.956%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 00:39
FanDuel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 00:40
GTbets🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 00:39
BetUS🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 00:39
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 00:40
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 00:39
MyBookie.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 00:31
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 00:39
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.646%E -0.157%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.646%E -0.157%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 00:39
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.646%E -0.157%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 00:39
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.646%E -0.157%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 00:39
SportsBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.86%E -0.459%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 00:39
Unibet (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.86%E -0.459%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 00:28
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 00:40
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 00:39
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 00:39
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:36
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.646%E -0.157%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:39
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:39
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:39
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:39
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:29
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:39
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:39
Dabble (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:39
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:39
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:29
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:29
Codere (IT)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 00:30
BoyleSports🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:39
ReBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:40
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 00:39
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 00:39
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 00:40
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 00:39
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.07%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.05%E -4.88%K -25.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.00%EV -14.46%E -4.10%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.00%EV -6.05%E -4.88%K -25.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 00:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 00:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 00:30
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.08%E -7.57%K -45.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 00:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-05-10 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-05-10 00:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-05-10 00:39
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-05-10 00:39
Polymarket4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-05-10 00:39
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-05-10 00:40
BetOpenly4.38I 22.83%NM 22.61%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.39%1.0%2026-05-10 00:29
Novig4.13I 24.21%NM 23.94%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.06%1.1%2026-05-10 00:40
ProphetX4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%1.6%2026-05-10 00:40
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%2.5%2026-05-10 00:39