Language:English
Los Angeles Lakers v Oklahoma City Thunder
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Lakers (Local)
Prediction 17.92%5.58fair odd
EV +7.49%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.112%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.08%17.91%18.08%20.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.405.406.0021.74%18.52%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)
Prediction 82.08%1.22fair odd
EV -0.678%
Edge -0.560%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.58%82.09%81.92%83.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.161.161.2190.91%86.35%86.21%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Lakers (Local): 17.92%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 82.08%. For Los Angeles Lakers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.58. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +7.49%E +1.25%K +1.50%G +0.112% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 02:43 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +7.49%E +1.25%K +1.50%G +0.112% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +7.49%E +1.25%K +1.50%G +0.112% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +7.49%E +1.25%K +1.50%G +0.112% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +7.49%E +1.25%K +1.50%G +0.112% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +5.70%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.066% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +3.91%E +0.674%K +0.815%G +0.032% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +0.328%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -7.24%E -6.41%K -55.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.33%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.67%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 02:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -0.389%E -0.070%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 02:43 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.07%E -7.20%K -67.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -2.18%E -0.399%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -2.18%E -0.399%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 02:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.26%E -0.603%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.26%E -0.603%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.26%E -0.603%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 02:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -5.05%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -5.05%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -5.05%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.81%EV -9.71%E -8.82%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.00%EV -6.12%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.00%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%EV -6.84%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%EV -0.678%E -0.560%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.84%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.84%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 02:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 02:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 02:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 02:42 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -15.80%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.50%E -1.25%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.59%E -3.82%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Novig◎ | 5.43I 18.42%NM 18.22% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.78% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.45% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.55% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |