La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Los Angeles Lakers v Oklahoma City Thunder
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Lakers (Local)
Predicción 17.92%5.58momio equitativo
EV +7.49%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.112%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.08%17.91%18.08%20.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.405.406.0021.74%18.52%18.52%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)
Predicción 82.08%1.22momio equitativo
EV -0.678%
Ventaja -0.560%
Kelly -3.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.58%82.09%81.92%83.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.161.161.2190.91%86.35%86.21%82.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +7.49%E +1.25%K +1.50%G +0.112% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 02:43 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +7.49%E +1.25%K +1.50%G +0.112% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +7.49%E +1.25%K +1.50%G +0.112% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +7.49%E +1.25%K +1.50%G +0.112% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +7.49%E +1.25%K +1.50%G +0.112% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +5.70%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.066% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +3.91%E +0.674%K +0.815%G +0.032% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Unibet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| betPARX | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Bally Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| BetRivers | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.02%E +0.524%K +0.635%G +0.019% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +0.328%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -7.24%E -6.41%K -55.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Pinnacle | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.33%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.67%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 02:41 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -0.389%E -0.070%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 02:43 |
| BetAnything | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Dabble (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.46%E -0.266%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.07%E -7.20%K -67.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -2.18%E -0.399%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -2.18%E -0.399%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 02:33 |
| SportsBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.26%E -0.603%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Coolbet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.26%E -0.603%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Everygame | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.26%E -0.603%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 02:39 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -5.05%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Caesars | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -5.05%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:39 |
| LeoVegas | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -5.05%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.81%EV -9.71%E -8.82%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betsson | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| NordicBet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Neds | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| GTbets | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.00%EV -6.12%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.00%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| theScore Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%EV -6.84%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%EV -0.678%E -0.560%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Fanatics | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.84%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.84%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 02:30 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 02:38 |
| Bet Right | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 02:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 02:42 |
| Fliff | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -15.80%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.50%E -1.25%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.59%E -3.82%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Matchbook | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Novig | 5.43I 18.42%NM 18.22% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.78% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Polymarket | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Kalshi | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| ProphetX | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.45% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.55% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |
| Smarkets | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 02:44 |