The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Lakers v Oklahoma City Thunder

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 02:41 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Prediction 8.19%12.21fair odd
EV +22.87%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.373%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.43%8.16%8.21%10.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.6211.5015.0011.11%8.60%8.70%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)

Prediction 91.81%1.09fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -44.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.55%91.84%91.79%93.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.17%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Lakers (Local): 8.19%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 91.81%. For Los Angeles Lakers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.21. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +22.87%E +1.52%K +1.63%G +0.373%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 02:40
Bet Victor🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +14.67%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.166%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 02:39
FanDuel🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +14.67%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.166%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +14.67%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.166%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:40
theScore Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.67%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.166%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Winamax (DE)🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +10.58%E +0.784%K +0.846%G +0.090%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Fanatics🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 02:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 02:40
888sport🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:29
William Hill🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:40
888sport (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:40
Dabble (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 02:40
Unibet (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.39%E +0.191%K +0.208%G +0.005%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:29
ReBet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.39%E +0.191%K +0.208%G +0.005%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:29
NetBet (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +2.39%E +0.191%K +0.208%G +0.005%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.27%E -7.20%K -727.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 02:30
Pinnacle🎯12.48I 8.01%NM 7.76%EV +2.22%E +0.178%K +0.194%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.24%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 02:39
DraftKings🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Unibet (NL)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Svenska Spel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Unibet (UK)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 02:40
Codere (IT)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 02:30
Betr (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 02:39
Neds🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 02:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 02:40
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 02:40
LowVig.ag🎯11.59I 8.63%NM 8.31%EV -5.07%E -0.437%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.69%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 02:40
GTbets🎯11.55I 8.66%NM 8.33%EV -5.39%E -0.467%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.67%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 02:39
Caesars🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -5.80%E -0.505%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 02:40
BetAnything🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.80%E -0.505%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:40
BetUS🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV -7.85%E -0.698%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 02:39
BetOnline.ag🎯11.11I 9.00%NM 8.63%EV -9.00%E -0.810%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.37%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:40
PlayUp🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.68%E -2.53%K -44.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 02:40
TAB🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 02:40
Unibet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 02:40
TABtouch🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 02:40
betPARX🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 02:40
Virgin Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Everygame🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:38
Bally Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
BoyleSports🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:31
Coolbet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:40
BetMGM🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Coral🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:39
MyBookie.ag🎯10.80I 9.26%NM 8.78%EV -11.54%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.22%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 02:32
Marathon Bet🎯10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV -11.95%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 02:29
Bovada🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.99%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.99%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -13.99%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Fliff🎯10.15I 9.85%NM 9.46%EV -16.86%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.54%EV -2.68%E -2.53%K -44.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Bet Right🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Betsson🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
NordicBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Sky Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Betclic (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:35
BetRivers🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 02:40
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 02:39
PMU (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 02:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.28%E -2.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 02:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎16.58I 6.03%NM 6.01%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.99%0.4%2026-04-08 02:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%0.8%2026-04-08 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%0.8%2026-04-08 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-04-08 02:40
Matchbook◎17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-04-08 02:40
ProphetX◎17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-04-08 02:40
Polymarket◎16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%1.2%2026-04-08 02:34
Kalshi◎16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%1.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Novig◎15.87I 6.30%NM 6.15%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.85%2.5%2026-04-08 02:40
Smarkets◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%2.9%2026-04-08 02:40