La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Lakers v Oklahoma City Thunder

Inicio: 2026-04-08 02:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Predicción 8.19%12.21momio equitativo
EV +22.87%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +1.63%
Crecimiento +0.373%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.43%8.16%8.21%10.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.0011.6211.5015.0011.11%8.60%8.70%6.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 91.81%1.09momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -2.53%
Kelly -44.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
89.55%91.84%91.79%93.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.17%96.15%94.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +22.87%E +1.52%K +1.63%G +0.373%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 02:40
Bet Victor14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +14.67%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.166%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 02:39
FanDuel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +14.67%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.166%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:40
PointsBet (AU)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +14.67%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.166%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:40
theScore Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.67%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.166%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Winamax (DE)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +10.58%E +0.784%K +0.846%G +0.090%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 02:40
Hard Rock Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 02:40
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:29
William Hill13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:39
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:40
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:40
Dabble (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.48%E +0.499%K +0.540%G +0.035%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 02:40
Unibet (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.39%E +0.191%K +0.208%G +0.005%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:29
ReBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.39%E +0.191%K +0.208%G +0.005%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:29
NetBet (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +2.39%E +0.191%K +0.208%G +0.005%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.27%E -7.20%K -727.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 02:30
Pinnacle12.48I 8.01%NM 7.76%EV +2.22%E +0.178%K +0.194%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.24%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 02:39
DraftKings12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Unibet (NL)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Unibet (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
ATG (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Svenska Spel12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Unibet (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 02:40
Codere (IT)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 02:30
Betr (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 02:39
Neds12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 02:40
Ladbrokes (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 02:40
Paddy Power12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.71%E -0.142%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 02:40
LowVig.ag11.59I 8.63%NM 8.31%EV -5.07%E -0.437%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.69%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 02:40
GTbets11.55I 8.66%NM 8.33%EV -5.39%E -0.467%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.67%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 02:39
Caesars11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -5.80%E -0.505%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 02:40
BetAnything11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.80%E -0.505%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:40
BetUS11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV -7.85%E -0.698%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 02:39
BetOnline.ag11.11I 9.00%NM 8.63%EV -9.00%E -0.810%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.37%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:40
PlayUp11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.68%E -2.53%K -44.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 02:40
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 02:40
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 02:40
TABtouch11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 02:40
betPARX11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 02:40
Virgin Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
LiveScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:38
Bally Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:31
Coolbet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:40
BetMGM11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Coral11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.90%E -0.900%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:39
MyBookie.ag10.80I 9.26%NM 8.78%EV -11.54%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.22%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 02:32
Marathon Bet10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV -11.95%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 02:29
Bovada10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.99%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:39
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.99%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 02:40
Winamax (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -13.99%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 02:40
Fliff10.15I 9.85%NM 9.46%EV -16.86%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.54%EV -2.68%E -2.53%K -44.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Bet Right10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Betsson10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
NordicBet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Sky Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Betclic (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 02:35
BetRivers10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 02:40
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.44%E -5.28%K -181.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 02:39
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.09%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 02:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.28%E -2.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -72.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 02:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly16.58I 6.03%NM 6.01%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.99%0.4%2026-04-08 02:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%0.8%2026-04-08 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%0.8%2026-04-08 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-04-08 02:40
Matchbook17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-04-08 02:40
ProphetX17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-04-08 02:40
Polymarket16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%1.2%2026-04-08 02:34
Kalshi16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%1.2%2026-04-08 02:40
Novig15.87I 6.30%NM 6.15%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.85%2.5%2026-04-08 02:40
Smarkets13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%2.9%2026-04-08 02:40