Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers v Philadelphia 76ers

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 23:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers (Local)

Prediction 12.45%8.03fair odd
EV +17.02%
Edge +1.81%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.345%

assuming max odds 9.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.39%12.65%11.99%15.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.597.509.4016.67%13.18%13.33%10.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)

Prediction 87.55%1.14fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -16.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.63%87.35%88.01%89.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.091.1295.24%91.72%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Pacers (Local): 12.45%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 87.55%. For Indiana Pacers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.03. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39%EV +17.02%E +1.81%K +2.03%G +0.345%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-10 23:10
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +12.04%E +1.34%K +1.51%G +0.181%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Fliff🎯8.95I 11.17%NM 10.68%EV +11.42%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.164%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.32%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 23:34
SportsBet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +8.93%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.103%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:35
FanDuel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.82%E +0.684%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯8.33I 12.00%NM 11.57%EV +3.70%E +0.444%K +0.505%G +0.019%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.43%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 23:10
Everygame🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV +2.70%E +0.328%K +0.373%G +0.010%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 12:20
GTbets🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +0.836%E +0.103%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +0.836%E +0.103%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 23:20
Pinnacle🎯8.09I 12.36%NM 11.97%EV +0.712%E +0.088%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.03%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.712%E +0.088%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 23:10
Fanatics🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:20
Coolbet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:19
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 22:30
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:14
TAB🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:34
BetUS🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:10
theScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:10
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:30
NetBet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -2.90%E -0.372%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 23:20
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -2.90%E -0.372%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:29
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 23:20
BetAnything🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:25
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:20
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:10
Bovada🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:21
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:35
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:10
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Codere (IT)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -7.88%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:24
MyBookie.ag🎯7.39I 13.53%NM 12.85%EV -8.00%E -1.08%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.15%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:28
Winamax (DE)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -9.75%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:30
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -1.94%E -1.73%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 23:19
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -1.94%E -1.73%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 23:30
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:20
Betsson🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:19
NordicBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:19
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 23:30
PMU (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -15.97%E -2.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 23:20
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:29
LeoVegas🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -20.33%E -3.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -25.31%E -4.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 23:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%0.6%2026-04-10 23:35
Matchbook9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%0.7%2026-04-10 23:35
Novig9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30%0.9%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-04-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-04-10 23:10
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-04-10 23:35
Polymarket9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-04-10 13:34
ProphetX8.50I 11.76%NM 11.55%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.45%1.9%2026-04-10 23:35
Smarkets9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%2.9%2026-04-10 23:35
BetOpenly9.48I 10.55%NM 10.23%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.77%3.1%2026-04-10 23:29