La escuela de los momios

Indiana Pacers v Philadelphia 76ers

Inicio: 2026-04-10 23:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Indiana Pacers (Local)

Predicción 12.45%8.03momio equitativo
EV +17.02%
Ventaja +1.81%
Kelly +2.03%
Crecimiento +0.345%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.39%12.65%11.99%15.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.597.509.4016.67%13.18%13.33%10.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)

Predicción 87.55%1.14momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -16.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.63%87.35%88.01%89.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.091.091.1295.24%91.72%91.74%89.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39%EV +17.02%E +1.81%K +2.03%G +0.345%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-10 23:10
Caesars9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +12.04%E +1.34%K +1.51%G +0.181%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Fliff8.95I 11.17%NM 10.68%EV +11.42%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.164%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.32%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 23:34
SportsBet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +8.93%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.103%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:35
FanDuel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.82%E +0.684%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:15
LowVig.ag8.33I 12.00%NM 11.57%EV +3.70%E +0.444%K +0.505%G +0.019%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.43%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 23:10
Everygame8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV +2.70%E +0.328%K +0.373%G +0.010%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 12:20
GTbets8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +0.836%E +0.103%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 23:15
Marathon Bet8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +0.836%E +0.103%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 23:20
Pinnacle8.09I 12.36%NM 11.97%EV +0.712%E +0.088%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.03%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 23:35
BetOnline.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.712%E +0.088%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 23:10
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 21:10
Betr (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:20
Coolbet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:19
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:15
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 22:30
BetMGM8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:14
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:15
Hard Rock Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:34
BetUS8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:10
theScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:10
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:15
Dabble (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:30
NetBet (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -0.409%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 23:20
Unibet (FR)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -2.90%E -0.372%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 23:20
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -2.90%E -0.372%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:29
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 23:20
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 23:20
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 23:20
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 23:20
BetAnything7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:25
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:20
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:10
Bovada7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:21
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:35
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:10
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:15
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:10
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Codere (IT)7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -7.88%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:24
MyBookie.ag7.39I 13.53%NM 12.85%EV -8.00%E -1.08%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.15%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:28
Winamax (DE)7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -9.75%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:30
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -1.94%E -1.73%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 23:19
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -1.94%E -1.73%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 23:30
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:20
Betsson7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:19
NordicBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:19
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:20
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 23:30
PMU (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -15.97%E -2.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 23:20
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:29
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:29
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -20.33%E -3.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 23:20
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -25.31%E -4.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 23:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%0.6%2026-04-10 23:35
Matchbook9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%0.7%2026-04-10 23:35
Novig9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30%0.9%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-04-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-04-10 23:10
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-04-10 23:35
Polymarket9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-04-10 13:34
ProphetX8.50I 11.76%NM 11.55%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.45%1.9%2026-04-10 23:35
Smarkets9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%2.9%2026-04-10 23:35
BetOpenly9.48I 10.55%NM 10.23%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.77%3.1%2026-04-10 23:29