Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.47
assuming max odds 3.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 66.86%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visit): 33.14%. For New Orleans Pelicans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.73%E +0.880%K +1.30%G +0.035% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +1.07%E +0.351%K +0.522%G +0.006% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +1.07%E +0.351%K +0.522%G +0.006% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +1.07%E +0.351%K +0.522%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 00:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.587%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.587%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -7.06%E -5.08%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -0.587%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.24%E -0.761%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.24%E -0.761%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.24%E -0.761%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -2.57%E -0.876%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -2.91%E -0.992%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 00:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 00:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.23%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 23:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%EV -2.38%E -1.63%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -4.56%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.56%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.56%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.56%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.83%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -5.23%E -1.83%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.73%E -5.60%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -7.06%E -5.08%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -6.55%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -7.06%E -5.08%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -6.55%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.38%E -1.63%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.40%E -6.13%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 00:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 00:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |