La escuela de los momios

Houston Rockets v New Orleans Pelicans

Inicio: 2026-03-14 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Rockets (Local)

Predicción 66.86%1.50momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -3.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.48%66.93%66.90%69.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.431.431.4773.53%70.07%69.93%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante)

Predicción 33.14%3.02momio equitativo
EV +2.73%
Ventaja +0.880%
Kelly +1.30%
Crecimiento +0.035%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%33.07%33.10%34.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.872.853.1036.36%34.86%35.09%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.73%E +0.880%K +1.30%G +0.035%5.8%2026-03-14 00:10
Bet Victor1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +1.07%E +0.351%K +0.522%G +0.006%3.2%2026-03-14 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +1.07%E +0.351%K +0.522%G +0.006%3.7%2026-03-14 00:10
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +1.07%E +0.351%K +0.522%G +0.006%4.2%2026-03-14 00:08
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.587%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-14 00:09
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.587%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 00:09
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -7.06%E -5.08%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -0.587%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:09
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.24%E -0.761%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.24%E -0.761%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.24%E -0.761%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:09
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -2.57%E -0.876%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 00:10
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -2.91%E -0.992%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 23:59
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 00:08
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 00:10
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 00:09
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 00:09
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 00:01
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 00:09
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.23%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 23:58
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%EV -2.38%E -1.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -4.56%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 00:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.56%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 00:10
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.56%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.56%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.83%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 00:09
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -5.23%E -1.83%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 23:59
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 00:10
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 00:10
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 00:09
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 00:09
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 00:09
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 00:10
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 00:09
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 00:10
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 00:10
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.39%E -4.57%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.73%E -5.60%K -20.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 00:09
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -7.06%E -5.08%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -6.55%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 00:05
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -7.06%E -5.08%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -6.55%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 00:00
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 00:09
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.38%E -1.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 00:10
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 00:09
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 00:09
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 00:09
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 00:09
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 00:09
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 00:09
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 00:10
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.40%E -6.13%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 00:08
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:10
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.72%E -2.58%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:09
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%0.4%2026-03-14 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-14 00:10
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-14 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-14 00:10
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-14 00:10
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-14 00:09
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-03-14 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-03-14 00:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-03-14 00:10
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%3.8%2026-03-13 23:59