Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.07
assuming max odds 18.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 92.42%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visit): 7.58%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.20. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +36.39%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.54%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.46%EV +36.39%E +2.02%K +2.14%G +0.779% | 1.7% | 2026-04-01 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +13.66%E +0.910%K +0.975%G +0.133% | 2.8% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +9.87%E +0.680%K +0.731%G +0.072% | 3.1% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +6.08%E +0.434%K +0.468%G +0.028% | 3.3% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.08%E +0.434%K +0.468%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +2.29%E +0.170%K +0.183%G +0.004% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +2.29%E +0.170%K +0.183%G +0.004% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.79%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.21%EV +0.396%E +0.030%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 23:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -2.96%E -2.82%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-01 22:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 21:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 22:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -7.58%E -7.58%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.57%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.95I 7.72%NM 7.43%EV -1.88%E -0.145%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.50%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.83I 7.79%NM 7.50%EV -2.79%E -0.217%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.24%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.36I 8.09%NM 7.76%EV -6.35%E -0.514%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 19:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.09%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.10I 8.26%NM 7.91%EV -8.32%E -0.687%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.08%E -0.756%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.08%E -0.756%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.08%E -0.756%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.08%E -0.756%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.08%E -0.756%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -2.03%E -1.92%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV -12.86%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.86%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.86%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.86%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.86%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.67%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.45I 8.73%NM 8.33%EV -13.24%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 23:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.96%E -2.82%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 23:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 06:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 23:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 23:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -20.44%E -1.95%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -1.11%E -1.03%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -24.23%E -2.42%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.96%E -2.82%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -24.23%E -2.42%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.96%E -2.82%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -24.23%E -2.42%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.96%E -2.82%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -24.23%E -2.42%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.75% | 19.12I 5.23%NM 5.25% | -0.4% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.29% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.71% | 0.1% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.51I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.17% | 16.95I 5.90%NM 5.83% | 1.1% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 23:05 |