La escuela de los momios

Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks

Inicio: 2026-04-02 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Rockets (Local)

Predicción 92.42%1.08momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -15.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
90.33%92.27%92.42%94.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.041.041.07100.00%96.28%96.15%93.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Bucks (Visitante)

Predicción 7.58%13.20momio equitativo
EV +36.39%
Ventaja +2.02%
Kelly +2.14%
Crecimiento +0.779%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 18.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.46%7.73%7.58%9.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.0012.1312.0018.0010.00%8.25%8.33%5.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.04I 96.15%NM 94.54%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.46%EV +36.39%E +2.02%K +2.14%G +0.779%1.7%2026-04-01 23:09
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +13.66%E +0.910%K +0.975%G +0.133%2.8%2026-04-01 23:49
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +9.87%E +0.680%K +0.731%G +0.072%3.1%2026-04-01 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +6.08%E +0.434%K +0.468%G +0.028%3.3%2026-04-01 23:55
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.08%E +0.434%K +0.468%G +0.028%5.2%2026-04-01 23:20
Caesars1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +2.29%E +0.170%K +0.183%G +0.004%3.6%2026-04-01 23:49
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +2.29%E +0.170%K +0.183%G +0.004%3.6%2026-04-01 23:30
Marathon Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.79%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.21%EV +0.396%E +0.030%K +0.032%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:04
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -2.96%E -2.82%K -59.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-01 22:34
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:49
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 21:39
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 22:40
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 22:35
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -7.58%E -7.58%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.50%E -0.115%K -0.125%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 22:59
GTbets1.04I 96.15%NM 92.57%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.95I 7.72%NM 7.43%EV -1.88%E -0.145%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 22:39
LowVig.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.50%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.83I 7.79%NM 7.50%EV -2.79%E -0.217%K -0.236%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:30
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:45
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:45
ReBet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:29
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:45
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:45
BetUS1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 18:35
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:55
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.29%E -0.423%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.24%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.36I 8.09%NM 7.76%EV -6.35%E -0.514%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 19:10
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 92.09%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.10I 8.26%NM 7.91%EV -8.32%E -0.687%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:55
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.08%E -0.756%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 19:10
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.08%E -0.756%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 18:20
BetAnything1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.08%E -0.756%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 23:49
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.08%E -0.756%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.08%E -0.756%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:19
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -2.03%E -1.92%K -33.86%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV -12.86%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-01 23:49
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.86%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:49
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.86%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:49
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.86%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:49
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.86%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:50
MyBookie.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 91.67%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.45I 8.73%NM 8.33%EV -13.24%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 23:38
TAB1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.96%E -2.82%K -59.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:00
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:45
Bet Right1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:40
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:59
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:45
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:45
Codere (IT)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 18:09
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 06:49
Bovada1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:13
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 23:19
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.65%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -160.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -20.44%E -1.95%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:30
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -1.11%E -1.03%K -15.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -24.23%E -2.42%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 23:55
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.96%E -2.82%K -59.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -24.23%E -2.42%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:50
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.96%E -2.82%K -59.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -24.23%E -2.42%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 20:20
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.96%E -2.82%K -59.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -24.23%E -2.42%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 20:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.06I 94.34%NM 94.75%19.12I 5.23%NM 5.25%-0.4%2026-04-01 23:54
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 94.29%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.71%0.1%2026-04-01 23:55
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-04-01 23:35
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.66%0.9%2026-04-01 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-01 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-01 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-01 23:35
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 94.17%16.95I 5.90%NM 5.83%1.1%2026-04-01 23:55
Polymarket1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-04-01 22:54
Kalshi1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-04-01 23:05