Language:English
Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Rockets (Local)
Prediction 56.08%1.78fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%55.99%56.23%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7661.73%59.01%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Heat (Visit)
Prediction 43.92%2.28fair odd
EV +0.131%
Edge +0.057%
Kelly +0.102%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%44.01%43.77%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.202.2850.00%45.78%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 56.08%; Miami Heat (Visit): 43.92%. For Miami Heat (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.277. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.280, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.131%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.131%E +0.057%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 00:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.63%E -0.726%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.94%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -2.94%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.29%E -0.735%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 00:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 23:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 23:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 23:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 23:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 23:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 23:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.29%E -0.735%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.17%E -6.08%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 00:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69% | -0.1% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 23:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 00:09 |