Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Rockets v Miami Heat

Início: 2026-03-22 00:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Previsão 56.08%1.78odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.735%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.05%55.99%56.23%57.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.701.7661.73%59.01%58.82%56.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Heat (Visitante)

Previsão 43.92%2.28odd justa
EV +0.131%
Vantagem +0.057%
Kelly +0.102%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.31%44.01%43.77%45.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.182.202.2850.00%45.78%45.45%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Rockets (Local): 56.08%; Miami Heat (Visitante): 43.92%. Para Miami Heat (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.277. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.280, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.131%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.131%E +0.057%K +0.102%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-21 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 23:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 23:44
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 00:09
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.63%E -0.726%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 22:29
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:44
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 00:04
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:44
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:44
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.06%E -0.926%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.94%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 23:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -2.94%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:29
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.29%E -0.735%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-21 23:59
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 00:09
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:20
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:45
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:34
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 00:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 23:44
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 23:34
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 23:48
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:39
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:43
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:34
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:14
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:58
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:09
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.29%E -0.735%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 00:04
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 00:04
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.17%E -6.08%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 00:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-03-22 00:10
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-03-22 00:10
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-03-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-03-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-03-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-03-22 00:09
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-21 23:49
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-22 00:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%9.7%2026-03-22 00:09