Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 62.71%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 37.29%. For Los Angeles Lakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.685%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.685%E +0.254%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-05-02 01:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.685%E +0.254%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-05-02 01:42 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.31%E -3.52%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -1.93%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.93%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -2.67%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 01:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 01:42 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -1.55%E -0.985%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -4.16%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.16%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -5.65%E -2.24%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 01:43 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.03%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 01:43 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.03%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 01:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.55%E -0.985%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 01:31 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -10.33%E -7.22%K -24.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.52%E -3.03%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.52%E -3.03%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.52%E -3.03%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.85% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 38.15% | 0.4% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |