La escuela de los momios

Houston Rockets v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-05-02 01:49 UTC

Final: Houston Rockets 78–98 Los Angeles Lakers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Rockets (Local)

Predicción 62.71%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.985%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%62.73%62.77%64.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.521.521.5769.93%65.92%65.79%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 37.29%2.68momio equitativo
EV +0.685%
Ventaja +0.254%
Kelly +0.403%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.71%37.27%37.23%39.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.582.7041.67%38.84%38.76%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.685%E +0.254%K +0.403%G +0.003%3.7%2026-05-02 01:43
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.685%E +0.254%K +0.403%G +0.003%3.7%2026-05-02 01:42
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.31%E -3.52%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 01:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 01:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 01:45
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 01:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 01:45
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 01:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 01:45
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 01:44
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 01:45
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 01:44
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 01:44
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.18%E -0.445%K -0.715%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:45
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -1.93%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 01:45
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.93%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 01:44
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -2.67%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 01:45
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 01:45
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 01:39
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 01:45
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 01:45
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 01:45
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 01:44
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 01:44
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 01:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 01:45
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 01:42
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 01:44
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -1.55%E -0.985%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -4.16%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 01:44
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.16%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 01:45
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 01:45
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 01:44
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 01:45
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 01:45
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 01:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 01:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 01:45
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 01:44
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -5.65%E -2.24%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 01:43
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.03%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 01:43
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.03%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 01:33
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.55%E -0.985%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 01:44
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 01:45
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 01:31
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 01:44
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 01:44
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 01:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 01:45
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 01:44
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -10.33%E -7.22%K -24.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 01:45
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.52%E -3.03%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:45
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.52%E -3.03%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:44
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.52%E -3.03%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:44
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 01:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-02 01:45
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.85%2.61I 38.31%NM 38.15%0.4%2026-05-02 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-02 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-02 01:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-02 01:45
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-02 01:45
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-05-02 01:44
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-02 01:45
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-05-02 01:45