Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks

2026-10-22 00:40 UTC — NBA

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

73%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prediction 72.69%1.38fair odd

EV -2.60%

Edge -1.94%

Kelly -7.64%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.73%72.69%72.69%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.311.321.321.3476.34%75.57%75.76%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 27.31%3.66fair odd

EV -4.41%

Edge -1.26%

Kelly -1.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.23%27.31%27.31%28.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.403.473.503.5029.41%28.85%28.57%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Rockets (Local): 72.69%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 27.31%. For Houston Rockets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.38. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.34, with an expected value of -2.60%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
TAB🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.60%E -1.94%K -7.64%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-13 21:14
DraftKings🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.66%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-13 21:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.78%E -3.65%K -15.41%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-13 22:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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