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Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks

2026-10-22 00:40 UTC — NBA

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prediction 72.41%1.38fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -8.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.81%72.34%72.48%78.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.301.301.3485.47%77.13%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV +17.27%
Edge +4.06%
Kelly +5.31%
Growth +0.918%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.59%27.66%27.52%29.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.434.2533.33%29.17%29.15%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Rockets (Local): 72.41%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 27.59%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.25, producing a positive expected value of +17.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -15.28%E -13.06%K -89.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV +17.27%E +4.06%K +5.31%G +0.918%9.0%2026-08-22 07:05
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +2.09%E +0.566%K +0.775%G +0.016%4.5%2026-08-19 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.666%E -0.185%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-26 09:44
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.05%E -0.576%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 21:45
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.05%E -0.576%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 22:43
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 22:34
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:59
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 12:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 12:04
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 12:04
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 04:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.32%E -5.72%K -26.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-20 12:19
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 01:34
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.32%E -5.72%K -26.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 19:00
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:59
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.32%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 05:44
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.32%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 05:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 12:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.56%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.44%EV -12.53%E -3.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-20 12:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 71.93%EV -12.39%E -10.24%K -58.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -14.46%E -4.67%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-02 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 70.92%EV -10.94%E -8.89%K -47.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -17.22%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-25 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (12 combinations) +1.88%TAB 1.34 (76.0%) / 1xBet 4.25 (24.0%)Show all 12 combinations
Houston Rockets (Local)Dallas Mavericks (Visit)Margin
TAB🎯 1.34 (76.0%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (24.0%)+1.88%
NordicBet🎯 1.34 (76.0%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (24.0%)+1.88%
Betsson🎯 1.34 (76.0%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (24.0%)+1.88%
BetMGM🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
PlayUp🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
Coral🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
GTbets🎯 1.32 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.7%)+0.718%
Bovada🎯 1.32 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.7%)+0.718%
DraftKings🎯 1.32 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.7%)+0.718%
theScore Bet🎯 1.31 (76.4%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.6%)+0.135%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.31 (76.4%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.6%)+0.135%