Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks

2026-10-22 00:40 UTC — NBA

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prediction 72.76%1.37fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -7.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.81%72.74%72.77%74.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.301.301.3481.30%76.76%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV +6.77%
Edge +1.73%
Kelly +2.32%
Growth +0.157%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.05%27.26%27.23%29.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.503.503.9232.05%28.57%28.57%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Rockets (Local): 72.76%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 27.24%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.92, producing a positive expected value of +6.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.05%EV +6.77%E +1.73%K +2.32%G +0.157%1.8%2026-10-13 10:13
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +0.779%E +0.210%K +0.288%G +0.002%5.8%2026-10-02 10:14
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.75%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV +0.234%E +0.064%K +0.087%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 04:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 09:00
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 19:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 19:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 19:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 19:44
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.14%E -4.76%K -21.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 19:44
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.14%E -4.76%K -21.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 19:44
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.14%E -4.76%K -21.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 19:48
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 19:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 19:49
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.583%E -0.160%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.95%E -0.540%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-29 01:59
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.95%E -0.540%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.95%E -0.540%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 08:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.95%E -0.540%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-12 19:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.23%E -2.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 03:54
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.95%E -3.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:14
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.95%E -3.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:00
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.95%E -3.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 20:59
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.95%E -3.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 22:34
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 14:55
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:59
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 12:04
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 02:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -10.50%E -8.54%K -45.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-12 19:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -5.76%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 03:59
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.23%E -2.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.95%E -3.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 03:55
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.23%E -2.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 19:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.23%E -2.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 14:45
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.23%E -2.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.23%E -2.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 19:00
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.23%E -2.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:59
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 14:01
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.50%E -1.86%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:33
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.50%E -1.86%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.23%E -2.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 05:04
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.23%E -2.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 05:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -9.05%E -7.24%K -36.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-11 08:51
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -14.20%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 03:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.07%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.93%EV -15.02%E -4.81%K -7.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 13:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-10-13 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-10-12 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-10-12 19:34
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 73.43%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.57%7.2%2026-10-10 15:35