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Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Rockets (Local)
Prediction 77.23%1.29fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -10.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.74%77.13%77.21%78.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.231.221.2686.21%81.49%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Mavericks (Visit)
Prediction 22.77%4.39fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +0.552%
Kelly +0.710%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.05%22.87%22.79%25.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.224.204.5028.17%23.72%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 77.23%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 22.77%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 4.2% | 2026-10-22 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 4.2% | 2026-10-22 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 4.2% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 4.2% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 4.2% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 4.2% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.56%E -5.42%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 4.9% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.56%E -5.42%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 4.9% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.56%E -5.42%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 4.9% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.56%E -5.42%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 4.9% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.33%E -6.11%K -36.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 5.6% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.33%E -6.11%K -36.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 5.6% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.33%E -6.11%K -36.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.48%E +0.552%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 5.6% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -8.10%E -6.81%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV +0.207%E +0.047%K +0.061%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.66%EV -2.70%E -2.14%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.34%EV -0.249%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-10-22 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.01%E -4.08%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -0.932%E -0.214%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.01%E -4.08%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -0.932%E -0.214%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-21 15:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.07%E -0.482%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-21 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.07%E -0.482%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-21 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.07%E -0.482%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-22 00:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.07%E -0.482%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-21 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -3.47%E -2.77%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -2.30%E -0.536%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-22 00:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.47%E -2.77%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-22 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.47%E -2.77%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-22 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-22 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-21 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-21 20:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-21 20:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-21 21:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -10.42%E -8.98%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -3.44%E -0.811%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-22 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.19%EV -3.47%E -2.77%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -3.66%E -0.866%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-21 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.47%E -2.77%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.47%E -2.77%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-21 12:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-21 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-21 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-21 18:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.01%E -4.08%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-21 17:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.01%E -4.08%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-21 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-21 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-21 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-21 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-21 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.49%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-21 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.47%E -2.77%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-21 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.47%E -2.77%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-21 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-22 00:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.24%E -3.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-22 00:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-21 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-21 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-21 21:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-22 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.56%E -5.42%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.70%E -2.14%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-21 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-21 19:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-21 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.56%E -5.42%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-21 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.56%E -5.42%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-21 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -9.36%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-22 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.56%E -5.42%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-21 20:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.78%E -4.74%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.47%E -2.77%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-21 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -7.33%E -6.11%K -36.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -19.15%E -5.39%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-22 00:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.94% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.06% | -0.3% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39% | 0.5% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-10-22 00:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-10-22 00:05 |