Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks

2026-10-22 00:40 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Predicción 72.53%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -8.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.05%72.55%72.54%78.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.301.301.3485.47%76.97%76.92%74.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dallas Mavericks (Visitante)

Predicción 27.47%3.64momio equitativo
EV +16.73%
Ventaja +3.94%
Kelly +5.15%
Crecimiento +0.861%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.59%27.45%27.46%29.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.463.504.2534.48%28.87%28.57%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Houston Rockets (Local): 72.53%; Dallas Mavericks (Visitante): 27.47%. Para Dallas Mavericks (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.64. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.25, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +16.73%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -15.13%E -12.94%K -89.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV +16.73%E +3.94%K +5.15%G +0.861%9.0%2026-08-22 07:05
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV +2.45%E +0.656%K +0.896%G +0.022%3.7%2026-09-28 20:50
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.62%E +0.439%K +0.601%G +0.010%4.5%2026-09-28 22:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.88%E -6.21%K -29.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.62%E +0.439%K +0.601%G +0.010%5.8%2026-10-02 10:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.12%E -0.312%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-29 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.12%E -0.312%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.12%E -0.312%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 21:45
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.12%E -0.312%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.12%E -0.312%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.12%E -0.312%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.12%E -0.312%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 21:45
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.12%E -0.312%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.50%E -0.703%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 21:45
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.50%E -0.703%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 21:45
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.50%E -0.703%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.50%E -0.703%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.16%E -5.59%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.50%E -0.703%K -0.979%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-28 20:39
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:14
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 20:59
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 22:34
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 14:55
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:59
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 12:04
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 02:25
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 05:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 20:39
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -10.06%E -8.11%K -41.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-30 02:29
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.22%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.78%EV -7.17%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 20:39
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 19:00
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-28 20:40
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.80%E -2.09%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 21:54
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.80%E -2.09%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 05:04
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 05:10
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.16%E -5.59%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -13.48%E -4.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-28 20:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.25%EV -12.23%E -10.11%K -58.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.75%EV -13.48%E -4.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-30 13:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -7.88%E -6.21%K -29.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-28 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.05%EV -10.06%E -8.11%K -41.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.95%EV -20.35%E -7.02%K -10.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-28 20:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-10-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-10-05 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-10-05 12:10
Novig◎1.26I 79.37%NM 73.58%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.42%7.9%2026-10-05 05:10
Arbitraje (17 combinaciones) +1.88%NordicBet 1.34 (76.0%) / 1xBet 4.25 (24.0%)Ver las 17 combinaciones
Houston Rockets (Local)Dallas Mavericks (Visitante)Margen
NordicBet🎯 1.34 (76.0%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (24.0%)+1.88%
Betsson🎯 1.34 (76.0%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (24.0%)+1.88%
theScore Bet🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
FanDuel🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
BetMGM🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
PlayUp🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
Coral🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
Paddy Power🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
Sky Bet🎯 1.33 (76.2%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
DraftKings🎯 1.32 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.7%)+0.718%
GTbets🎯 1.32 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.7%)+0.718%
SportsBet🎯 1.32 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.7%)+0.718%
Unibet (UK)🎯 1.32 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.7%)+0.718%
Betr (AU)🎯 1.31 (76.4%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.6%)+0.135%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.31 (76.4%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.6%)+0.135%
Caesars🎯 1.31 (76.4%)1xBet🎯 4.25 (23.6%)+0.135%