Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets v Atlanta Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prediction 57.32%1.74fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%57.47%57.25%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7063.69%60.32%60.06%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 42.68%2.34fair odd
EV +2.43%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%42.53%42.75%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.252.252.4047.85%44.45%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 57.32%; Atlanta Hawks (Visit): 42.68%. For Atlanta Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +2.43%E +1.01%K +1.73%G +0.042%3.8%2026-03-20 23:56
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.293%E +0.125%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.3%2026-03-20 23:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -10.00%E -6.37%K -17.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.293%E +0.125%K +0.217%G +0.001%6.2%2026-03-21 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.561%E -0.241%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-20 23:50
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.41%E -0.612%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-20 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 00:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 12:05
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:54
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 00:00
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.27%E -0.990%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 23:05
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:55
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:59
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:55
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.56%E -4.03%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.56%E -4.03%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.56%E -4.03%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -3.12%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:34
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 23:54
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 23:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 22:39
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 23:55
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:40
TAB🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:50
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.56%E -4.03%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:55
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.40%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.28%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.83%E -2.17%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.26%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.26%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.68%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.68%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:34
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:55
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:59
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:54
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:59
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.28%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.99%E -3.65%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.49%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -10.80%E -5.17%K -9.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 23:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-20 23:55
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-20 23:55
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-03-21 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-20 23:30
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-03-21 00:00
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-20 23:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-03-21 00:00