La escuela de los momios

Houston Rockets v Atlanta Hawks

Inicio: 2026-03-21 00:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Rockets (Local)

Predicción 57.32%1.74momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -3.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.41%57.47%57.25%59.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.671.7063.69%60.32%60.06%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Hawks (Visitante)

Predicción 42.68%2.34momio equitativo
EV +2.43%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.73%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.05%42.53%42.75%43.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.092.252.252.4047.85%44.45%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +2.43%E +1.01%K +1.73%G +0.042%3.8%2026-03-20 23:56
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.293%E +0.125%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.3%2026-03-20 23:55
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -10.00%E -6.37%K -17.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.293%E +0.125%K +0.217%G +0.001%6.2%2026-03-21 00:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.561%E -0.241%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-20 23:50
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.41%E -0.612%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-20 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 22:30
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 23:50
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:55
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 00:00
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:55
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 00:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 12:05
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:54
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.84%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 00:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.27%E -0.990%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 23:05
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:55
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:59
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:55
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.56%E -4.03%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.56%E -4.03%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:55
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.56%E -4.03%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:00
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -3.12%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:54
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:34
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 23:54
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 23:55
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 22:39
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 23:55
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:40
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:40
TAB1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:50
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.56%E -4.03%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:55
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.40%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:40
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.28%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.83%E -2.17%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 23:55
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.26%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:55
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.26%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.68%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.68%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:34
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:59
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:54
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:59
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:55
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.28%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:55
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:50
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.99%E -3.65%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 23:59
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.49%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -10.80%E -5.17%K -9.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 23:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-20 23:55
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-20 23:55
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-03-21 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-20 23:30
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-03-21 00:00
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-20 23:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-03-21 00:00