The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 02:13 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prediction 51.99%1.92fair odd
EV -0.702%
Edge -0.367%
Kelly -0.771%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.97%51.95%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.9157.14%54.63%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 48.01%2.08fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%48.03%48.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.981.982.0654.05%50.54%50.51%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Warriors (Local): 51.99%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 48.01%. For Golden State Warriors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.702%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -0.702%E -0.367%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -6.86%E -3.53%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.702%E -0.367%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 02:10
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.22%E -0.643%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.62%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.22%E -0.643%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.62%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.74%E -0.921%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.02%E -1.49%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-10 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 02:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 02:10
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 02:09
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 02:09
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.94%E -2.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 02:09
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-10 02:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 02:10
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.94%E -2.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 02:10
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 02:10
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.18%E -6.04%K -13.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 02:09
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.34%E -2.36%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.94%E -2.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 02:10
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.02%E -1.49%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 02:09
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 02:09
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 02:09
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 02:10
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.90%E -3.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 02:09
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 01:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 02:01
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.94%E -2.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 02:10
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.94%E -2.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.86%E -3.53%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 02:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 02:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 02:10
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 02:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.02%E -1.49%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 02:01
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 01:59
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 02:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 02:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 01:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.94%E -3.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -1.10%E -0.532%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.94%E -3.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 02:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.46%E -4.19%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 01:59
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.98%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.98%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.51%EV -7.98%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.49%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 02:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.79%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-04-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-04-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-04-10 02:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-10 02:10
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-10 02:09
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-04-10 02:10
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-04-10 02:10
Novig◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-04-10 02:10
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-04-10 02:10
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 57.30%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%10.5%2026-04-10 01:59