Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-04-10 02:13 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (23 en el análisis )

52%

48%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Predicción 51.99%1.92momio equitativo

EV -0.702%

Ventaja -0.367%

Kelly -0.771%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

50.00%51.97%51.95%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.751.831.831.9157.14%54.63%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 48.01%2.08momio equitativo

EV -1.10%

Ventaja -0.532%

Kelly -1.03%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

46.05%48.03%48.05%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.851.981.982.0654.05%50.54%50.51%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
FanDuel	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -0.702%E -0.367%K -0.771%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -6.86%E -3.53%K -7.30%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-04-10 02:10
theScore Bet	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.702%E -0.367%K -0.771%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-10 02:10
Paddy Power	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.22%E -0.643%K -1.36%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.62%K -9.75%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-10 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.22%E -0.643%K -1.36%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.62%K -9.75%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-10 02:10
Pinnacle	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.74%E -0.921%K -1.96%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.02%E -1.49%K -2.96%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-04-10 02:09
LowVig.ag	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-04-10 02:10
Caesars	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-10 02:09
PointsBet (AU)	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-10 02:10
BetOnline.ag	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-10 02:10
Hard Rock Bet	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-10 02:10
Betway	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-10 02:09
Fliff	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-10 02:10
Winamax (DE)	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-04-10 02:09
SportsBet	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.94%E -2.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-10 02:09
Bet Victor	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-04-10 02:08
Unibet (UK)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-10 02:10
Unibet (SE)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-10 02:10
Unibet (NL)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-10 02:10
Svenska Spel	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-10 02:10
ATG (SE)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-10 02:10
DraftKings	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.94%E -2.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-10 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-10 02:10
Neds	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-10 02:10
Bet Right	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-10 02:09
Dabble (AU)	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.18%E -6.04%K -13.15%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-10 02:09
Unibet	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.34%E -2.36%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.94%E -2.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-10 02:10
Coolbet	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.02%E -1.49%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-10 02:09
GTbets	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-10 02:09
PlayUp	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-10 02:09
Bovada	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-10 02:09
BetAnything	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-10 02:10
LiveScore Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-10 02:10
Virgin Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-10 02:10
TABtouch	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-10 02:10
betPARX	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-10 02:10
Bally Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-10 02:10
BetRivers	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.90%E -3.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-10 02:09
Sky Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-10 02:10
Unibet (FR)	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-04-10 01:59
MyBookie.ag	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-10 02:01
Betsson	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.94%E -2.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-04-10 02:10
NordicBet	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.94%E -2.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-04-10 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-10 02:10
Winamax (FR)	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.86%E -3.53%K -7.30%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-10 02:10
TAB	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-10 02:10
Betr (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-10 02:10
Fanatics	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-10 02:10
Everygame	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-10 02:09
Codere (IT)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.02%E -1.49%K -2.96%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-10 02:01
888sport	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-10 01:59
BoyleSports	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-10 02:00
William Hill	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-10 02:09
Mr Green (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-10 01:59
888sport (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-10 01:59
Marathon Bet	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.94%E -3.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -1.10%E -0.532%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-10 02:00
PMU (FR)	1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.94%E -3.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.89%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-04-10 02:10
NetBet (FR)	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.46%E -4.19%K -9.56%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-10 01:59
BetMGM	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.98%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-10 02:10
Tipico (DE)	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.98%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-10 02:10
Betclic (FR)	1.77I 56.50%NM 51.51%EV -7.98%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.49%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-04-10 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.03%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-10 02:10
Coral	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.03%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-10 02:10
LeoVegas	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.79%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.03%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-04-10 02:10

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%	2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%	0.4%	2026-04-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%	0.6%	2026-04-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%	0.6%	2026-04-10 02:10
Kalshi	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.0%	2026-04-10 02:10
Polymarket	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.1%	2026-04-10 02:09
ProphetX	1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%	1.3%	2026-04-10 02:10
Matchbook	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%	1.9%	2026-04-10 02:10
Novig	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%	1.9%	2026-04-10 02:10
Smarkets	1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%	2.6%	2026-04-10 02:10
BetOpenly	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.30%	2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%	10.5%	2026-04-10 01:59