The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Clippers

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 03:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prediction 48.33%2.07fair odd
EV +3.43%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +3.01%
Growth +0.103%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.08%48.18%48.37%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.001.992.1452.63%49.96%50.25%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 51.67%1.94fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.965%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%51.82%51.63%54.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.831.9058.82%54.96%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Warriors (Local): 48.33%; Los Angeles Clippers (Visit): 51.67%. For Golden State Warriors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV +3.43%E +1.60%K +3.01%G +0.103%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -9.07%E -5.15%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 03:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV +3.43%E +1.60%K +3.01%G +0.103%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -9.07%E -5.15%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 03:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV +3.43%E +1.60%K +3.01%G +0.103%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -9.07%E -5.15%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 03:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV +3.43%E +1.60%K +3.01%G +0.103%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -9.07%E -5.15%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 03:10
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.47%E +1.16%K +2.20%G +0.054%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.47%E +1.16%K +2.20%G +0.054%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.47%E +1.16%K +2.20%G +0.054%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.47%E +1.16%K +2.20%G +0.054%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.50%E +0.714%K +1.36%G +0.020%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.50%E +0.714%K +1.36%G +0.020%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.50%E +0.714%K +1.36%G +0.020%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV +0.532%E +0.256%K +0.493%G +0.003%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -11.13%E -6.47%K -15.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 03:10
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.918%E -0.448%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 03:10
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.918%E -0.448%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 03:10
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.918%E -0.448%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.17%E -7.16%K -17.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 03:10
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.40%E -0.687%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 03:10
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -1.88%E -0.928%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 03:10
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -2.37%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-03 03:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.37%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.37%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.37%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -2.85%E -1.42%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 03:10
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.83%E -0.965%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 03:10
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 03:09
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 03:09
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 03:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 03:03
Coolbet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.82%E -1.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.90%E -2.10%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 03:08
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.82%E -1.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.93%E -2.68%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 02:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.90%E -2.10%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 02:59
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.78%E -2.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 03:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.27%E -2.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 02:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.27%E -2.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.27%E -2.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:10
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:09
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:09
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:09
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:10
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:09
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:08
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.90%E -2.10%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 02:59
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:59
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 02:59
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 03:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.03%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 02:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.23%E -3.21%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -6.48%E -3.58%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 03:08
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.35%E -1.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 03:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -7.20%E -3.75%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.03%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 03:09
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -2.35%E -1.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 03:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 03:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 03:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.03%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 03:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.11I 47.39%NM 48.16%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.84%-1.6%2026-03-03 02:59
ProphetX◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-03-03 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-03-03 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-03-03 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-03 03:10
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-03 03:10
Novig◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-03 03:10
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-03 03:10
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-03 03:09
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-03-03 03:10