La escuela de los momios

Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Clippers

Inicio: 2026-03-03 03:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Predicción 48.33%2.07momio equitativo
EV +3.43%
Ventaja +1.60%
Kelly +3.01%
Crecimiento +0.103%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.08%48.18%48.37%49.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.001.992.1452.63%49.96%50.25%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Clippers (Visitante)

Predicción 51.67%1.94momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.965%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.26%51.82%51.63%54.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.821.831.9058.82%54.96%54.64%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV +3.43%E +1.60%K +3.01%G +0.103%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -9.07%E -5.15%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 03:10
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV +3.43%E +1.60%K +3.01%G +0.103%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -9.07%E -5.15%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 03:10
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV +3.43%E +1.60%K +3.01%G +0.103%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -9.07%E -5.15%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 03:10
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV +3.43%E +1.60%K +3.01%G +0.103%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -9.07%E -5.15%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 03:10
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.47%E +1.16%K +2.20%G +0.054%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.47%E +1.16%K +2.20%G +0.054%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.47%E +1.16%K +2.20%G +0.054%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.47%E +1.16%K +2.20%G +0.054%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.50%E +0.714%K +1.36%G +0.020%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.50%E +0.714%K +1.36%G +0.020%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.50%E +0.714%K +1.36%G +0.020%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.10%E -5.80%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV +0.532%E +0.256%K +0.493%G +0.003%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -11.13%E -6.47%K -15.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 03:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.918%E -0.448%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 03:10
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.918%E -0.448%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 03:10
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.918%E -0.448%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.17%E -7.16%K -17.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 03:10
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.40%E -0.687%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 03:10
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -1.88%E -0.928%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 03:10
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -2.37%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-03 03:09
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.37%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.37%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.37%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -2.85%E -1.42%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 03:10
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.83%E -0.965%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 03:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 03:09
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 03:09
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 03:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 03:03
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.82%E -1.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.90%E -2.10%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 03:08
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.82%E -1.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.93%E -2.68%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:09
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 02:59
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.90%E -2.10%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 02:59
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 03:10
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.78%E -2.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 03:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.27%E -2.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 02:59
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.27%E -2.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:00
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.27%E -2.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 03:10
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:10
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:09
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:09
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:10
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:09
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 03:08
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.90%E -2.10%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 02:59
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:59
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:59
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:59
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 02:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 03:09
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.03%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 02:59
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.23%E -3.21%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -6.48%E -3.58%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 03:08
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.35%E -1.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 03:10
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -7.20%E -3.75%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.03%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 03:09
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -2.35%E -1.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 03:10
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 03:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 03:10
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.03%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 03:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.11I 47.39%NM 48.16%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.84%-1.6%2026-03-03 02:59
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-03-03 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-03-03 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-03-03 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-03 03:10
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-03 03:10
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-03 03:10
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-03 03:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-03 03:09
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-03-03 03:10