Language:English
Golden State Warriors v Houston Rockets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Warriors (Local)
Prediction 39.98%2.50fair odd
EV +1.95%
Edge +0.766%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.11%39.98%40.05%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.392.5545.45%42.12%41.84%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Rockets (Visit)
Prediction 60.02%1.67fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.02%59.95%61.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.601.6465.79%62.73%62.50%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Warriors (Local): 39.98%; Houston Rockets (Visit): 60.02%. For Golden State Warriors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +1.95%E +0.766%K +1.26%G +0.025% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 02:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.047%E -0.019%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 01:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.047%E -0.019%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -0.447%E -0.179%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -0.846%E -0.341%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.25%E -0.505%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-06 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-06 02:07 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 01:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 01:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 02:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.17%E -1.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.25%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-06 02:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.25%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 01:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.25%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 01:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 21:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 01:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 02:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 01:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 01:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.24%E -2.21%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 01:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.64%E -2.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 01:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 01:58 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.44%E -2.75%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.84%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.57%E -0.957%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.84%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.57%E -0.957%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.84%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.57%E -0.957%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.84%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.57%E -0.957%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.17%E -1.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.17%E -1.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.17%E -1.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.17%E -1.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 12:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 12:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.84%E -3.88%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.42%EV -9.24%E -4.07%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -12.04%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -12.04%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-06 01:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.59I 38.61%NM 38.63% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.37% | -0.0% | 2026-04-06 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 02:10 |