La escuela de los momios

Golden State Warriors v Houston Rockets

Inicio: 2026-04-06 02:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Predicción 39.98%2.50momio equitativo
EV +1.95%
Ventaja +0.766%
Kelly +1.26%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.11%39.98%40.05%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.372.392.5545.45%42.12%41.84%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Rockets (Visitante)

Predicción 60.02%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.957%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.02%59.95%61.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.591.601.6465.79%62.73%62.50%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +1.95%E +0.766%K +1.26%G +0.025%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 02:04
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.047%E -0.019%K -0.031%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 01:25
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.047%E -0.019%K -0.031%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 02:05
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -0.447%E -0.179%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-06 01:45
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -0.846%E -0.341%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-06 02:10
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.25%E -0.505%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 02:10
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 02:09
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 02:00
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 02:07
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 02:05
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 02:00
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 01:54
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 01:50
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 02:09
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 02:10
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 02:09
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.17%E -1.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 02:05
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.25%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 02:04
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.25%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 01:50
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.25%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 02:05
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 02:00
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 01:45
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 01:35
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 21:14
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 02:10
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 01:00
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 02:10
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 01:49
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 02:10
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 02:04
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 02:10
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 02:00
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 01:04
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 01:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 01:05
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.24%E -2.21%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 01:34
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.64%E -2.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 01:55
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 14:44
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 01:59
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 01:58
MyBookie.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.44%E -2.75%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 01:35
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.84%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.57%E -0.957%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 01:55
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.84%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.57%E -0.957%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 01:55
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.84%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.57%E -0.957%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 01:55
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.84%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.57%E -0.957%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 01:55
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.17%E -1.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 02:00
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.17%E -1.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 02:00
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.17%E -1.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 02:00
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.17%E -1.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 02:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 12:54
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 01:55
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 01:55
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 01:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 12:54
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 12:55
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 02:05
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.84%E -3.88%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 01:55
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.42%EV -9.24%E -4.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 02:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 02:05
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 01:50
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -12.04%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 01:55
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -12.04%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 01:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.59I 38.61%NM 38.63%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.37%-0.0%2026-04-06 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-04-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-04-06 02:10
Novig2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-04-06 02:10
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-04-06 02:10
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-06 02:00
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-06 02:00
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-04-06 02:10
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-04-06 02:10