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Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets

2026-12-26 03:40 UTC — NBA

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prediction 45.19%2.21fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.47%45.29%45.17%46.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.072.072.1653.19%48.42%48.31%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Nuggets (Visit)

Prediction 54.81%1.82fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.39%54.71%54.83%55.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.751.751.7963.29%57.30%57.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Golden State Warriors (Local): 45.19%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 54.81%. For Denver Nuggets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.79, with an expected value of -1.90%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.18%E -3.00%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 23:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-29 03:10
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 08:40
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.29%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.09%E -2.34%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-29 03:15
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.29%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.64%E -2.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-29 03:09
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.18%E -3.00%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 03:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.18%E -3.00%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 03:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.18%E -3.00%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 03:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.18%E -3.00%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 03:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.18%E -3.00%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 03:10
ReBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29%EV -5.55%E -2.65%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.18%E -3.00%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 03:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.45%E -3.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.90%E -1.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.45%E -3.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.90%E -1.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.45%E -3.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.90%E -1.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.45%E -3.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.90%E -1.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 16:34
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.90%E -1.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.90%E -1.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 20:50
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.90%E -1.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 16:29
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.90%E -1.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 16:59
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.09%E -2.34%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 04:24
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.09%E -2.34%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 04:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.83%E -4.02%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-29 03:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.81%E -3.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.44%E -1.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 16:35
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.81%E -3.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.44%E -1.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.81%E -3.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.99%E -1.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.54%E -2.01%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.83%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.44%EV -10.12%E -6.17%K -15.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -6.83%E -4.02%K -9.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-30 02:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.66%EV -15.04%E -8.00%K -17.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.34%EV -13.41%E -8.48%K -23.11%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-29 03:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%11.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%11.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%11.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Novig◎1.33I 75.19%NM 48.45%1.25I 80.00%NM 51.55%55.2%2026-10-27 23:25