默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets

2026-12-26 03:30 UTC — NBA

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Golden State Warriors (主队)

预测 45.79%2.18公平赔率
EV +2.57%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +2.08%
增长率 +0.053%

假设最高赔率为 2.24

博彩公司预测分布
42.86%45.30%45.79%46.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.072.052.2450.00%48.37%48.78%44.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Denver Nuggets (客队)

预测 54.21%1.84公平赔率
EV -2.43%
优势 -1.35%
Kelly -3.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
53.25%54.70%54.21%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.761.771.8059.52%56.70%56.34%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Golden State Warriors (主队):45.79%;Denver Nuggets (客队):54.21%。 对于“Golden State Warriors (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.18。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.24,由此产生+2.57%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV +2.57%E +1.15%K +2.08%G +0.053%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -8.93%E -5.32%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 16:54
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.01%E -0.937%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.14%E -2.93%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 17:00
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.01%E -0.937%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 17:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 17:00
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 16:34
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 16:59
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 16:20
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 16:29
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 16:59
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.58%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.58%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 16:35
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.58%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.58%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.14%E -2.93%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 16:59
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.14%E -2.93%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 16:58
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 16:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

在 odds.forum 讨论这场比赛

论坛讨论以英语显示。

尚无已发布的评论。