Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons v Philadelphia 76ers

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 23:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prediction 87.51%1.14fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -26.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.27%87.47%87.49%89.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.081.1194.34%92.00%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)

Prediction 12.49%8.00fair odd
EV +9.32%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.112%

assuming max odds 8.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.99%12.53%12.51%14.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.637.508.7516.00%13.11%13.33%11.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 87.51%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 12.49%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.00. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +9.32%E +1.07%K +1.20%G +0.112%4.0%2026-03-12 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +6.20%E +0.729%K +0.827%G +0.051%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +6.20%E +0.729%K +0.827%G +0.051%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.20%E +0.729%K +0.827%G +0.051%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.20%E +0.729%K +0.827%G +0.051%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.55%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.45%EV +4.33%E +0.518%K +0.588%G +0.025%4.6%2026-03-12 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV +3.70%E +0.446%K +0.507%G +0.019%3.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.13%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%8.17I 12.24%NM 11.87%EV +2.08%E +0.254%K +0.290%G +0.006%3.1%2026-03-12 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.02%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.98%EV +0.952%E +0.118%K +0.134%G +0.001%3.3%2026-03-12 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:09
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.78%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.22%EV -1.30%E -0.164%K -0.188%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -1.30%E -0.164%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV -1.80%E -0.229%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -3.17%E -0.409%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -3.17%E -0.409%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -3.17%E -0.409%K -0.470%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 23:10
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -3.17%E -0.409%K -0.470%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 23:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.24%E -6.83%K -120.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.17%E -0.409%K -0.470%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -3.80%E -0.493%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:59
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -3.80%E -0.493%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:09
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:10
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:09
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:09
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -7.54%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.42%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -2.87%E -2.58%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -10.04%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -10.04%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.87%E -2.58%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 23:10
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 23:07
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.24%E -6.83%K -120.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.67%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -21.91%E -3.51%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%0.1%2026-03-12 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-03-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-12 23:09
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.7%2026-03-12 23:10
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.7%2026-03-12 23:10
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%2.1%2026-03-12 23:10
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.89%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.11%2.3%2026-03-12 23:10
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 88.78%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.22%2.4%2026-03-12 23:10