La escuela de los momios

Detroit Pistons v Philadelphia 76ers

Inicio: 2026-03-12 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Predicción 87.51%1.14momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -2.58%
Kelly -26.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.27%87.47%87.49%89.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.091.081.1194.34%92.00%92.59%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)

Predicción 12.49%8.00momio equitativo
EV +9.32%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.112%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.99%12.53%12.51%14.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.257.637.508.7516.00%13.11%13.33%11.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +9.32%E +1.07%K +1.20%G +0.112%4.0%2026-03-12 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +6.20%E +0.729%K +0.827%G +0.051%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +6.20%E +0.729%K +0.827%G +0.051%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.20%E +0.729%K +0.827%G +0.051%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.20%E +0.729%K +0.827%G +0.051%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 88.55%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.45%EV +4.33%E +0.518%K +0.588%G +0.025%4.6%2026-03-12 23:10
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV +3.70%E +0.446%K +0.507%G +0.019%3.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 88.13%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%8.17I 12.24%NM 11.87%EV +2.08%E +0.254%K +0.290%G +0.006%3.1%2026-03-12 23:09
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 88.02%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.98%EV +0.952%E +0.118%K +0.134%G +0.001%3.3%2026-03-12 23:10
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:09
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:09
BetMGM1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:09
BetAnything1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
ATG (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.048%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:10
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 87.78%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.22%EV -1.30%E -0.164%K -0.188%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -1.30%E -0.164%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:01
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV -1.80%E -0.229%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -3.17%E -0.409%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:10
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -3.17%E -0.409%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -3.17%E -0.409%K -0.470%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 23:10
Neds1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -3.17%E -0.409%K -0.470%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.24%E -6.83%K -120.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.17%E -0.409%K -0.470%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -3.80%E -0.493%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:59
ReBet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -3.80%E -0.493%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:09
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:10
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:09
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:09
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:09
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.29%E -0.839%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Codere (IT)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -7.54%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:01
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.42%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 23:10
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -2.87%E -2.58%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -10.04%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -10.04%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 23:00
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.87%E -2.58%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.74%E -3.40%K -37.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Betway1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 23:10
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 23:07
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.37%E -5.95%K -90.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 23:10
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.24%E -6.83%K -120.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.54%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.62%E -4.24%K -51.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.67%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -5.49%E -5.09%K -68.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -21.91%E -3.51%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%0.1%2026-03-12 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-03-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-12 23:09
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.7%2026-03-12 23:10
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.7%2026-03-12 23:10
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%2.1%2026-03-12 23:10
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.89%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.11%2.3%2026-03-12 23:10
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 88.78%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.22%2.4%2026-03-12 23:10