Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons v Orlando Magic

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 22:40 UTC

Final: Detroit Pistons 101–112 Orlando Magic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prediction 76.52%1.31fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -7.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%76.38%76.64%78.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.251.251.2882.64%79.99%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orlando Magic (Visit)

Prediction 23.48%4.26fair odd
EV +4.50%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.059%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.65%23.62%23.36%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.024.004.4528.57%24.85%25.00%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 76.52%; Orlando Magic (Visit): 23.48%. For Orlando Magic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -5.88%E -4.78%K -25.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV +4.50%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059%3.8%2026-04-19 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +3.32%E +0.756%K +0.978%G +0.033%3.4%2026-04-19 22:25
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.32%E +0.756%K +0.978%G +0.033%4.7%2026-04-19 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%EV +2.15%E +0.494%K +0.642%G +0.014%1.7%2026-04-19 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.976%E +0.227%K +0.296%G +0.003%3.9%2026-04-19 14:05
BetAnything🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.88%E -4.78%K -25.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.976%E +0.227%K +0.296%G +0.003%4.6%2026-04-19 22:35
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.976%E +0.227%K +0.296%G +0.003%5.2%2026-04-19 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.976%E +0.227%K +0.296%G +0.003%5.2%2026-04-19 22:25
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +0.272%E +0.064%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-19 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -0.198%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.198%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.198%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.37%E -0.327%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.37%E -0.327%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 22:35
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.37%E -0.327%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 17:25
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.88%E -4.78%K -25.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.37%E -0.327%K -0.429%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.55%E -0.614%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.55%E -0.614%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 22:29
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 21:10
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 22:24
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.41%E -6.13%K -35.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 22:29
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.89%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:35
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 22:19
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 14:05
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:35
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 03:10
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 21:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 03:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 03:10
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 04:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 13:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:30
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.24%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.24%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.24%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.24%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.24%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.06%E -1.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 22:30
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 21:34
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:20
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:20
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:20
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 22:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 13:25
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -7.41%E -6.13%K -35.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -14.29%E -3.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.81%E -5.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-19 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-19 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-19 22:30
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-19 22:25
BetOpenly1.26I 79.37%NM 78.93%4.72I 21.19%NM 21.07%0.6%2026-04-19 22:29
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 78.25%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.75%0.6%2026-04-19 22:35
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-04-19 20:55
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-04-19 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-19 22:35
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-04-19 22:35