L’École des cotes

Detroit Pistons v Orlando Magic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 22:40 UTC

Score final : Detroit Pistons 101–112 Orlando Magic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prévision 76.52%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -7.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.68%76.38%76.64%78.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.251.251.2882.64%79.99%80.00%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Orlando Magic (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.48%4.26cote équitable
EV +4.50%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.059%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.65%23.62%23.36%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.024.004.4528.57%24.85%25.00%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -5.88%E -4.78%K -25.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV +4.50%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059%3.8%2026-04-19 22:35
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +3.32%E +0.756%K +0.978%G +0.033%3.4%2026-04-19 22:25
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.32%E +0.756%K +0.978%G +0.033%4.7%2026-04-19 22:25
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%EV +2.15%E +0.494%K +0.642%G +0.014%1.7%2026-04-19 17:45
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.976%E +0.227%K +0.296%G +0.003%3.9%2026-04-19 14:05
BetAnything1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.88%E -4.78%K -25.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.976%E +0.227%K +0.296%G +0.003%4.6%2026-04-19 22:35
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.976%E +0.227%K +0.296%G +0.003%5.2%2026-04-19 22:25
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.976%E +0.227%K +0.296%G +0.003%5.2%2026-04-19 22:25
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +0.272%E +0.064%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-19 19:30
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -0.198%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 22:35
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.198%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 22:35
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.198%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 22:30
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.37%E -0.327%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 14:09
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.37%E -0.327%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 22:35
Caesars1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.37%E -0.327%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 17:25
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.88%E -4.78%K -25.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.37%E -0.327%K -0.429%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 22:30
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.55%E -0.614%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 22:35
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.55%E -0.614%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 22:29
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 21:55
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 21:10
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 22:24
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.41%E -6.13%K -35.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.72%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 22:29
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.89%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:35
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 22:19
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 14:05
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:35
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 03:10
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 21:10
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 03:10
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 03:10
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 04:00
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 13:40
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:30
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.24%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 12:25
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.24%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.24%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 22:20
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.24%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 22:20
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.24%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.06%E -1.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 22:30
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 21:34
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:20
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:20
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:20
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:20
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:35
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 22:20
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 22:20
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.82%E -2.22%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 22:20
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 22:35
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 13:25
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 22:30
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 22:20
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -7.41%E -6.13%K -35.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -14.29%E -3.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.35%E -3.48%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.81%E -5.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-19 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-19 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-19 22:30
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-19 22:25
BetOpenly1.26I 79.37%NM 78.93%4.72I 21.19%NM 21.07%0.6%2026-04-19 22:29
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 78.25%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.75%0.6%2026-04-19 22:35
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-04-19 20:55
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-04-19 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-19 22:35
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-04-19 22:35