Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons v Orlando Magic

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 23:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Pistons 98–83 Orlando Magic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prediction 75.69%1.32fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -5.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.33%75.39%75.96%77.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.52%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orlando Magic (Visit)

Prediction 24.31%4.11fair odd
EV +2.12%
Edge +0.505%
Kelly +0.662%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%24.61%24.04%27.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.323.944.004.2030.12%25.35%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 75.69%; Orlando Magic (Visit): 24.31%. For Orlando Magic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.12%E +0.505%K +0.662%G +0.014%5.8%2026-04-22 22:59
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.12%E +0.505%K +0.662%G +0.014%5.8%2026-04-22 23:03
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.12%E +0.505%K +0.662%G +0.014%5.8%2026-04-22 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.12%E +0.505%K +0.662%G +0.014%5.8%2026-04-22 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.57%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43%EV +0.903%E +0.218%K +0.287%G +0.003%2.8%2026-04-22 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.903%E +0.218%K +0.287%G +0.003%4.1%2026-04-22 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.903%E +0.218%K +0.287%G +0.003%4.1%2026-04-22 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.62%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV -0.069%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:09
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:10
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -0.799%E -0.196%K -0.259%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 23:10
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.53%E -0.377%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 23:10
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.53%E -0.377%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.01%E -0.500%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-22 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:10
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:09
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:10
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:01
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:09
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:10
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.15%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -5.90%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 23:07
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.91%E -5.61%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -1.61%E -1.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -1.61%E -1.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 23:09
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.37%E -1.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 23:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.37%E -1.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.18%E -7.65%K -45.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 23:10
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -11.25%E -3.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 23:09
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.61%E -1.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.61%E -1.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 23:10
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.37%E -1.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.33%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%EV -19.28%E -5.81%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 23:07
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 78.17%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.83%-0.8%2026-04-22 22:59
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 76.91%4.33I 23.09%NM 23.09%0.0%2026-04-22 23:09
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-04-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-22 23:10
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-22 23:09
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-04-22 23:10
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-04-22 23:10