La escuela de los momios

Detroit Pistons v Orlando Magic

Inicio: 2026-04-22 23:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Pistons 98–83 Orlando Magic

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Predicción 75.69%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -5.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.33%75.39%75.96%77.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.52%79.37%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Predicción 24.31%4.11momio equitativo
EV +2.12%
Ventaja +0.505%
Kelly +0.662%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.51%24.61%24.04%27.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.323.944.004.2030.12%25.35%25.00%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.12%E +0.505%K +0.662%G +0.014%5.8%2026-04-22 22:59
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.12%E +0.505%K +0.662%G +0.014%5.8%2026-04-22 23:03
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.12%E +0.505%K +0.662%G +0.014%5.8%2026-04-22 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.12%E +0.505%K +0.662%G +0.014%5.8%2026-04-22 22:59
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.57%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43%EV +0.903%E +0.218%K +0.287%G +0.003%2.8%2026-04-22 23:09
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.903%E +0.218%K +0.287%G +0.003%4.1%2026-04-22 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.903%E +0.218%K +0.287%G +0.003%4.1%2026-04-22 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.62%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV -0.069%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:59
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:09
BetAnything1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:10
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 23:10
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:09
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:10
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:10
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.312%E -0.076%K -0.101%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 23:10
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -0.799%E -0.196%K -0.259%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 23:10
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.53%E -0.377%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 23:10
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.53%E -0.377%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.01%E -0.500%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-22 23:10
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:10
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:09
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:10
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:00
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.74%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:01
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 23:10
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:09
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:10
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:10
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:10
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:09
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:09
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 23:10
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.15%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -5.90%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 23:07
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:09
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:10
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.91%E -5.61%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -1.61%E -1.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 23:09
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -1.61%E -1.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 23:09
Bovada1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 23:09
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.37%E -1.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.37%E -1.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 23:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 23:09
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.18%E -7.65%K -45.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 23:10
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -11.25%E -3.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 23:09
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.61%E -1.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 23:10
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.61%E -1.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 23:10
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.37%E -1.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.33%EV -3.88%E -3.05%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%EV -19.28%E -5.81%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 23:07
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 78.17%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.83%-0.8%2026-04-22 22:59
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 76.91%4.33I 23.09%NM 23.09%0.0%2026-04-22 23:09
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-04-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-22 23:10
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-22 23:09
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-04-22 23:10
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-04-22 23:10