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Detroit Pistons v Minnesota Timberwolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Pistons (Local)
Prediction 65.21%1.53fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.691%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%65.25%65.22%66.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.471.471.5572.46%68.24%68.03%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)
Prediction 34.79%2.87fair odd
EV -0.493%
Edge -0.172%
Kelly -0.265%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.49%34.75%34.78%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.742.752.8640.82%36.54%36.36%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 65.21%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 34.79%. For Detroit Pistons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +1.07%E +0.691%K +1.95%G +0.021% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.19%E -1.46%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.19%E -1.46%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -8.50%E -3.23%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.19%E -1.46%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -1.54%E -0.543%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.93%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.62%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-02 23:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.36%E -1.97%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 22:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.841%E -0.295%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.28%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.50%E -3.23%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.80%E -3.29%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.67%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.841%E -0.295%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.841%E -0.295%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.841%E -0.295%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.841%E -0.295%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -0.493%E -0.172%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.75%E -4.72%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -7.10%E -2.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -8.06%E -5.71%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.93%EV -10.01%E -7.26%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.07%EV -7.10%E -2.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 23:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -10.01%E -7.26%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 0.0% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.06% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.94% | 1.1% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.2% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.7% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |