La escuela de los momios

Detroit Pistons v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-04-02 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Predicción 65.21%1.53momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.691%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%65.25%65.22%66.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.471.471.5572.46%68.24%68.03%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 34.79%2.87momio equitativo
EV -0.493%
Ventaja -0.172%
Kelly -0.265%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.49%34.75%34.78%38.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.742.752.8640.82%36.54%36.36%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +1.07%E +0.691%K +1.95%G +0.021%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.19%E -1.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 23:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.19%E -1.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -8.50%E -3.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:08
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.19%E -1.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 23:10
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -1.54%E -0.543%K -0.840%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-02 23:09
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.93%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-02 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.62%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 23:10
Everygame1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 23:08
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.36%E -1.97%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 22:58
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.84%E -1.91%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-02 23:10
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-02 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:10
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:09
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:09
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:10
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:09
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:10
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 22:59
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:10
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:10
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:10
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:10
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:10
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-02 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -3.49%E -2.36%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-02 23:10
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.841%E -0.295%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 23:04
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 23:10
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.28%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 23:09
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 23:09
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 23:10
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 23:09
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 23:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.50%E -3.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 23:10
Paddy Power1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.80%E -3.29%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.67%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:03
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.841%E -0.295%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.841%E -0.295%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 23:10
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.841%E -0.295%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 23:10
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.841%E -0.295%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 23:09
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:10
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:10
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -0.493%E -0.172%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 22:59
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 23:10
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 23:10
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 23:10
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 23:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.10%E -4.24%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.75%E -4.72%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.58%E -0.922%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -7.10%E -2.66%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 23:01
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -8.06%E -5.71%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.93%EV -10.01%E -7.26%K -26.35%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.07%EV -7.10%E -2.66%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 23:08
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -10.01%E -7.26%K -26.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%0.0%2026-04-02 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-04-02 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-04-02 23:10
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-02 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-04-02 23:10
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 65.06%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.94%1.1%2026-04-02 23:10
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-02 23:10
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-04-02 23:10
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-04-02 23:10
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.7%2026-04-02 23:10