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Detroit Pistons v Golden State Warriors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Pistons (Local)
Prediction 67.09%1.49fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.32%67.09%67.13%69.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.421.431.4672.99%70.32%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Warriors (Visit)
Prediction 32.91%3.04fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.31%32.91%32.87%34.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.882.903.1538.17%34.69%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 67.09%; Golden State Warriors (Visit): 32.91%. For Golden State Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +3.66%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.367%E +0.120%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 23:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.72%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -1.28%E -0.426%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-20 23:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -1.94%E -0.650%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.40%E -3.83%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -1.94%E -0.650%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 23:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.40%E -3.83%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.91%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.23%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.23%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.56%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.56%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.72%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.89%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-20 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 23:31 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 23:32 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.40%E -3.83%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 23:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 23:37 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -2.72%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -8.52%E -3.06%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -2.04%E -1.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-20 23:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.34%EV -6.74%E -4.85%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.66%EV -13.78%E -5.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 23:29 |