La escuela de los momios

Detroit Pistons v Golden State Warriors

Inicio: 2026-03-20 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Predicción 67.09%1.49momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -4.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.32%67.09%67.13%69.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.421.431.4672.99%70.32%69.93%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Golden State Warriors (Visitante)

Predicción 32.91%3.04momio equitativo
EV +3.66%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.70%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.31%32.91%32.87%34.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.882.903.1538.17%34.69%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +3.66%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062%4.7%2026-03-20 23:39
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.367%E +0.120%K +0.179%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-20 23:38
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.72%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -1.28%E -0.426%K -0.639%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-20 23:38
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -1.94%E -0.650%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 23:39
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.40%E -3.83%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -1.94%E -0.650%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:29
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 23:40
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 23:39
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 23:38
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 23:39
Everygame1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 23:39
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 23:39
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:40
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.40%E -3.83%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:39
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.92%E -0.991%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:39
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.91%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:40
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 23:40
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 23:40
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 23:40
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 23:39
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 23:40
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 23:39
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:40
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:39
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:35
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.23%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.23%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 23:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.56%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.56%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:39
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.72%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.89%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 23:29
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:40
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:40
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:40
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:40
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:39
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:40
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:39
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:40
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 23:40
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 23:31
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:32
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.40%E -3.83%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 23:39
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:31
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:37
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -2.72%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -8.52%E -3.06%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:30
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -2.04%E -1.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:40
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 23:38
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.34%EV -6.74%E -4.85%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.66%EV -13.78%E -5.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 23:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-03-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-03-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-20 23:40
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-20 23:40
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-20 23:39
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-20 23:40
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-20 23:40
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-03-20 23:40
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-03-20 23:40
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%4.0%2026-03-20 23:29