Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons v Cleveland Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 00:15 UTC

Final: Detroit Pistons 94–125 Cleveland Cavaliers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prediction 62.37%1.60fair odd
EV -0.838%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.64%62.31%62.29%63.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.31%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 37.63%2.66fair odd
EV +0.106%
Edge +0.040%
Kelly +0.064%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.12%37.69%37.71%40.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.532.552.6642.92%39.49%39.22%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 62.37%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 37.63%. For Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.657. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.660, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.106%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +0.106%E +0.040%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 00:10
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.270%E -0.102%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 18:50
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 20:50
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -2.53%E -0.976%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -2.53%E -0.976%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-18 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 00:10
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 21:13
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 00:05
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 00:04
TAB🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 20:10
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 23:30
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 00:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:45
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:50
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 22:40
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 22:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.70%E -5.20%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 23:30
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 23:30
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.42%E -3.02%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 00:05
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 00:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 23:45
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.57%E -6.60%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 23:45
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -0.838%E -0.527%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -11.56%E -4.92%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.31%E -5.28%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 00:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-18 00:10
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-18 00:10
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-18 00:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-05-18 00:05
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-05-17 23:59
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-05-18 00:10
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-05-18 00:10