La escuela de los momios

Detroit Pistons v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-05-18 00:15 UTC

Final: Detroit Pistons 94–125 Cleveland Cavaliers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Predicción 62.37%1.60momio equitativo
EV -0.838%
Ventaja -0.527%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.64%62.31%62.29%63.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.31%65.36%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 37.63%2.66momio equitativo
EV +0.106%
Ventaja +0.040%
Kelly +0.064%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.12%37.69%37.71%40.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.332.532.552.6642.92%39.49%39.22%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +0.106%E +0.040%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 00:10
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.270%E -0.102%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 00:05
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 23:30
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 18:50
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 23:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 00:05
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 23:50
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 20:50
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -2.53%E -0.976%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 00:05
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -2.53%E -0.976%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 00:10
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-18 00:10
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 00:10
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 19:24
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 21:13
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 00:05
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 00:05
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 00:04
TAB1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 17:00
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 22:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 22:40
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 20:10
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 00:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 23:30
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 00:05
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 22:20
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:30
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:45
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:45
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:45
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:05
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:50
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 22:40
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 22:40
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.70%E -5.20%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 23:05
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 23:30
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 23:30
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:30
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.42%E -3.02%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 00:05
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 00:04
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 23:45
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.57%E -6.60%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 23:45
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -0.838%E -0.527%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -11.56%E -4.92%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.31%E -5.28%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 00:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-18 00:10
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-18 00:10
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-18 00:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-05-18 00:05
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-05-17 23:59
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-05-18 00:10
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-05-18 00:10