Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 2.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 58.87%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 41.13%. For Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -0.473%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.12%E -0.890%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 16:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -7.05%E -3.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 20:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.12%E -0.890%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.53%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-05 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 22:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.76%E -1.61%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 22:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 21:47 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 22:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -0.473%E -0.196%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 22:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 21:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.75%E -5.64%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -9.34%E -6.06%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 22:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 21:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 22:59 |