La escuela de los momios

Detroit Pistons v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-05-05 23:10 UTC

Final: Detroit Pistons 111–101 Cleveland Cavaliers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Predicción 58.87%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.82%58.86%60.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.621.621.6764.94%61.71%61.73%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 41.13%2.43momio equitativo
EV -0.473%
Ventaja -0.196%
Kelly -0.333%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.95%41.18%41.14%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.322.332.4245.45%43.06%42.92%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.12%E -0.890%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 16:54
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -7.05%E -3.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 23:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 17:09
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:44
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 23:00
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 23:00
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 20:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 20:55
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.12%E -0.890%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.53%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-05 22:50
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 23:05
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 23:05
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 22:24
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.76%E -1.61%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 22:25
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:45
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 23:00
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 23:05
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 23:00
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 23:05
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 22:04
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 21:49
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 21:47
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:10
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:50
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:55
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:10
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 23:05
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 23:05
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 23:05
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:30
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 19:50
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 23:00
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 23:00
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -0.473%E -0.196%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 23:05
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 22:34
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:05
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:05
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:05
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:25
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:25
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 23:05
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 23:05
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 23:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 21:04
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 22:59
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 22:54
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 22:25
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.75%E -5.64%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 21:59
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -9.34%E -6.06%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-05 23:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-05 22:45
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-05 23:05
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-05 22:55
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-05 21:49
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-05 22:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-05-05 23:05
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-05-05 23:05
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-05-05 22:59