Language:English
Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Prediction 69.80%1.43fair odd
EV -0.889%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%69.72%69.84%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.4275.19%73.26%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Raptors (Visit)
Prediction 30.20%3.31fair odd
EV -0.328%
Edge -0.100%
Kelly -0.143%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%30.28%30.16%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.163.173.3035.09%31.69%31.55%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Nuggets (Local): 69.80%; Toronto Raptors (Visit): 30.20%. For Toronto Raptors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.328%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -0.889%E -0.626%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 00:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.28%E -1.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 00:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%EV -2.98%E -2.15%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.98%E -2.15%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -2.98%E -2.15%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -6.97%E -2.26%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -0.630%E -0.192%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -2.44%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.74%E -0.852%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 00:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -6.07%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 01:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.328%E -0.100%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -1.23%E -0.378%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -2.74%E -0.852%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 12:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 00:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.90%E -3.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.47%E -4.83%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.328%E -0.100%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.328%E -0.100%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 00:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -13.92%E -4.88%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | -0.1% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.19% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.81% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |