L’École des cotes

Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 01:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Prévision 69.80%1.43cote équitable
EV -0.889%
Avantage -0.626%
Kelly -2.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.18%69.72%69.84%71.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.361.361.4275.19%73.26%73.53%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Raptors (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.20%3.31cote équitable
EV -0.328%
Avantage -0.100%
Kelly -0.143%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%30.28%30.16%31.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.163.173.3035.09%31.69%31.55%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -0.889%E -0.626%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-21 00:29
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.28%E -1.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-21 00:48
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%EV -2.98%E -2.15%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 00:40
TAB1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.98%E -2.15%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:30
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -2.98%E -2.15%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -6.97%E -2.26%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 00:30
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -0.630%E -0.192%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 01:05
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -2.44%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 00:30
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.74%E -0.852%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 01:00
Everygame1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 00:35
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 00:35
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:30
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:50
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -6.07%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 00:50
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 00:45
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 00:35
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:35
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:29
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.68%E -2.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:30
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 01:03
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:30
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:40
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.328%E -0.100%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 00:30
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -1.23%E -0.378%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 00:55
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 00:35
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 00:40
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 00:40
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 00:40
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -2.74%E -0.852%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 12:55
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 01:00
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:30
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:40
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:40
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:40
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:40
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:29
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:25
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:25
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:19
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:19
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:20
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 01:00
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 01:00
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.84%E -0.566%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:35
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:35
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:40
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:59
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.77%E -4.28%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.90%E -3.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:00
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.47%E -4.83%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.328%E -0.100%K -0.143%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 00:35
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.328%E -0.100%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:09
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 00:40
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 00:35
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -13.92%E -4.88%K -7.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 00:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%-0.1%2026-03-21 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-21 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-21 00:30
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-21 00:30
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 70.19%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.81%1.0%2026-03-21 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-21 01:00
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-03-21 01:05